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  • ZUO Xiangtai
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 1(13): 81-105.
    Digital transformation is a strategic change process that triggers significant changes in the attributes of an enterprise entity through a combination of information,computing,communication,and connectivity technologies. This process thereby improves the enterprise entity and enhances its comprehensive competitive advantages. By utilizing relevant digital technologies,it can effectively promote the digital transformation of enterprises and industries. In the specific application process:on the one hand,it aims to accelerate the digital transformation and upgrading of enterprises and comprehensively deepen the digital transformation of key industries;on the other hand,it seeks to promote the digital transformation of industrial parks and industrial clusters,and to cultivate a transformation support service ecosystem. In terms of its breadth of influence,digital transformation can not only promote the high-quality development of the macro economy,but also impact the capital market performance of micro enterprises.
    However,there is a discrepancy between the words and actions of some companies regarding digital transformation. That is,they claim to have a rich digital transformation strategy,but their actual investment is relatively meager. This discrepancy exacerbates the risk of share price collapse and affects the stability of the capital market,which in turn further impacts the actual benefits of enterprises. In this paper,we select a sample of listed companies in China’s Shanghai and Shenzhen A-shares from 2010 to 2021 to empirically analyze the specific impact of digital transformation with inconsistent words and deeds of enterprises on the risk of stock price collapse,and to explore the possible causes of such inconsistency. It is found that digital transformation with inconsistent rhetoric and behavior leads to a significant increase in the risk of share price collapse faced by firms,and this finding remains robust after a series of robustness tests. In a further study,a deeper investigation into the causes of digital transformation misalignment reveals that firms’ perceptions of economic policy uncertainty significantly widen the gap between firms’ digital transformation “words” and “deeds”,with a more pronounced effect in the sample of loss-making firms. Meanwhile,the heterogeneity test shows that investors are more tolerant of SOEs’ digital transformation behaviors that are inconsistent with their rhetoric.
    These findings,on the one hand,provide an interpretable explanation for the disparity findings in previous studies,and on the other hand,offer new ideas for enhancing the stability of the capital market and realizing the high-quality development of the economy. From a policy perspective,attention should be paid to the impact of economic policy uncertainty on the digital transformation of enterprises,and efforts should be made to actively reduce such uncertainty in order to promote a more “real” digital transformation. In addition,enterprises should focus on consistency between words and deeds,enhance transparency,and adhere to “real” digital transformation actions in order to reduce the risk of stock price collapse,establish a good corporate image,and attract more investment. Overall,the research in this paper provides useful insights for understanding the relationship between corporate digital transformation words and actions and stock price crash risk,as well as new insights for the stability of the capital market and the advancement of high-quality development of China’s economy.
    In response to the phenomenon of inconsistency in corporate digital transformation,this paper argues that the government should consider and formulate policies to regulate corporate behavior,as this phenomenon may pose a potential threat to the stability of the capital market and the interests of investors. By discussing the inconsistencies in the digital transformation of enterprises,we can accurately identify whether the enterprises have actually fulfilled their promises of digital transformation in the future,or whether they have only remained at the level of false propaganda. Then,reasonable thresholds can be set to effectively limit the excessive propaganda behavior of enterprises in digital transformation,thereby better protecting the interests of investors at the source and building a solid foundation for the longterm and stable development of the capital market. On the other hand,the relevant regulatory authorities need to conduct a comprehensive and systematic assessment of enterprises whose words and deeds are inconsistent. Based on the assessment results,severe penalties should be imposed on enterprises whose words exceed their deeds,forming a strong deterrent. At the same time,timely and effective encouragement and support should be given to enterprises whose deeds exceed their words,stimulating their motivation and creativity.


  • SU Shibin CAI Limin
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 1(13): 1-25.
    In order to further promote the development of new quality productive forces tailored to local conditions,based on the shortcomings of existing research and the logical relationship diagram of new quality productivity,a new quality productivity evaluation index system was constructed. The core elements of the three-level index system of new quality productivity were determined by integrating the SRCFS model and simulated annealing algorithm to optimize the projection pursuit model. The evaluation and prediction of new quality productivity in China during the two periods of 2019-2023 and 2025-2035 were evaluated and predicted using the combination of minimum deviation method and grey metabolism prediction model. At the same time,the self-organizing mapping neural network clustering method was used to classify and analyze the characteristics of new quality productivity in the above two periods. Studies have found that,as a whole,the level of new productivity in my country has shown a year-on-year growth trend in the short-term and medium-term development process,but there are still regional differences;under the shortterm development,the new quality productivity of various provinces and cities in my country can be divided into developed and medium developments. And the three levels of underdeveloped development,most of them have not reached the level of development;with the development of medium and long term,the new productivity of new quality in various provinces and cities in my country will show a relatively significant improvement,except for a few provinces and cities,it has basically reached the level of medium developed and above. Therefore,in the process of cultivating and developing new productive forces in my country,China must not only make overall layout,but also cooperate with local conditions.


  • AN Bowen XU Peiyuan XIAO Yi HUANG Huan
    Journal of China Economics. 2024, 4(12): 1-47.

    Chinese civilization has always revered the philosophy of the unity
    of man and nature, striving for harmonious coexistence between humans and
    nature. Humans and nature are a community of life. From the new starting point
    of ecological civilization construction, in facing global challenges such as
    climate change and the greenhouse effect, summarizing the Chinese model of
    green governance that synergistically promotes carbon reduction, pollution
    control, greening, and growth holds significant reference value for enhancing
    China’s international discourse power, building a beautiful China where humans
    and nature coexist in harmony, and realizing the Chinese Dream of the great
    rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.
    China’s development model has undergone profound transformations, shifting
    from single-dimensional growth to a coordinated approach that integrates carbon
    reduction, pollution control, greening, and growth, showcasing the powerful
    driving force of the systemic view of harmonious coexistence between humans
    and nature, as well as the great practices implemented by the Communist Party of

    China through a multifaceted approach. From the perspective of model

    transformation, the Communist Party of China has evolved from recognizing the
    relationship between humans and nature, to continuously focusing on it,
    exploring it in-depth, and accelerating the promotion of harmonious coexistence
    between humans and nature. China’s development has undergone four models:
    single-dimensional growth, pollution-control growth, pollution-control and
    greening growth, and carbon-reduction, pollution-control, and greening growth,
    achieving a profound transformation from a single-goal to a multi-dimensional
    and coordinated development model. From the source of motivation, the systemic
    view of harmonious coexistence between humans and nature is the practical
    experience and theoretical achievement that the Communist Party of China has
    gained through iterative cycles of practice, understanding, re-practice, and re
    understanding. This systemic view has become the driving force for vigorously
    advancing ecological civilization construction, fostering green development
    models, lifestyles, ways of thinking, and values, as well as building a community
    of life between humans and nature and modernizing in harmony with nature.
    From the perspective of innovation, China has largely established a development
    model that synergistically promotes carbon reduction, pollution control, greening,
    and growth, continuously strengthening the top-level design of modernization for
    harmonious coexistence between humans and nature through solid advancements
    in achieving dual-carbon goals, strengthening environmental pollution
    prevention, intensifying ecological protection efforts, and accelerating the green
    transformation of the development model.
    The construction of a production system where humans and nature coexist
    harmoniously includes the socio-economic system, the resource-environment
    system, and the green transformation method, encompassing four aspects of
    carbon reduction, pollution control, greening, and growth. It embodies various
    collaborative concepts such as development goal coordination, production factor
    coordination, and green transformation coordination. Placing the production
    system of harmonious coexistence between humans and nature within a three
    stage Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) framework to measure its performance,
    the effectiveness of synergistically promoting carbon reduction, pollution control,
    greening, and growth is evaluated. In the process, the performance of the entire
    system is also decomposed from the perspectives of development goals and input
    factors. Data results show that since the new era, China has achieved significant
    results in synergistically promoting carbon reduction, pollution control, greening,
    and growth. From the perspective of development models, the synergy
    performance of carbon reduction, pollution control, and greening growth is
    higher than that of carbon reduction and pollution control growth, and much
    higher than the performance of single-dimensional growth. From the perspective
    of development goals, the performance levels of the socio-economic system and
    the resource-environment system are continuously improving, and green
    transformation is gradually being internalized as a capability within the two
    subsystems. From the perspective of production factors, the productivity of water
    resources, land, and energy continues to rise. Green transformation not only
    enhances the performance of each factor system but also internalizes the system’s
    self-capacity. From the regional perspective, the four major regions exhibit a
    certain degree of heterogeneity in both overall and subsystem performance, with
    the overall performance showing a divergent trend.

  • ZHAO Man
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 1(13): 26-58.
    Employment is the foundation of people’s livelihood. The report of the Party’s 20th National Congress proposed to “strengthen the employment priority policy,improve the employment promotion mechanism,and promote high-quality full employment.” In the new stage of China’s high-quality development,how to better benefit the dividend of scientific and technological innovation to the labor market is an important measure to achieve high-quality full employment. According to the International Federation of Robotics (IFR),with the rapid development of artificial intelligence technology represented by robots,China has become the world’s largest country in the installation of robots,and surpassed the total installation of other regions for the first time in 2021. The large-scale use of robots has had a profound impact on China’s labor market,and the employment “creation effect” and “destruction effect” of robot application have a direct impact on the labor market. Then,will the application of artificial intelligence technology represented by robots lead to unemployment?
    In order to answer the above questions,based on the data of Chinese industrial enterprises and import and export data of China Customs,this paper uses PSM-DID estimation method to study the impact of robot application on the job market from the enterprise level. The benchmark results show that the application of robots in enterprises is a “positive choice”,and the application of robots significantly promotes the employment demand of enterprises,and the employment increase of enterprises after the application of robots is about 28.85%. Mechanism analysis finds that the application of robots mainly promotes enterprises to increase employment by improving enterprise productivity and increasing output. Further research shows that compared with labor-intensive and eastern enterprises,robot application has a stronger role in promoting employment in non-labor-intensive and central and western enterprises. In addition,this paper also finds that there is no “crowding out effect” in robot application,and robot application does not significantly reduce the employment of non-robot application enterprises in the industry. The conclusion of this paper provides some empirical evidence for the effective use of technological innovation to promote the realization of more adequate and higher quality employment in the new development stage.
    Based on the research findings,this paper draws the following policy implications. First,improve supporting facilities and encourage enterprises to apply robots. Relevant government departments should formulate industrial policies to promote the development of robotics technology and actively guide enterprises to apply robots in order to promote the realization of high-quality full employment. For example,reduce the income tax of enterprises to purchase robots,and reduce the initial investment cost of enterprises to introduce robot technology,so as to encourage enterprises to apply robots. In addition,further improve the infrastructure for the development of the robot industry,and increase financial support for the industry,such as setting up a special fund for robot research and development,establishing a robot industrial park,attracting science and technology groups to settle in and carry out robot research and development,production and sales,and enriching the types of robot products to better match the production links of enterprises. Thus,the employment effect of robot application can be more effectively brought into play. Second,adapt to local conditions and implement policies for enterprises to deepen the application level of robots. Relevant government departments should adapt to local conditions and implement policies for enterprises to actively guide enterprises to further improve the application level of robots. Effectively exert the dividends of the development of artificial intelligence technology,and constantly stimulate the employment effect of robot application while promoting the development of enterprises. Third,build a training system and strengthen the skills training of workers. The relevant government departments should increase the skills training of the labor force,especially the low-skilled labor force,to help them adapt to the job changes brought by the application of robots. For example,enterprises are encouraged to cooperate with universities to establish robot experiment bases,set up training courses for robot engineers,robot operators and other professions,and train professional and technical talents to help the labor force transition from traditional positions to new technical positions.


  • WANG Jiangyuan
    Journal of China Economics. 2024, 4(12): 48-77.
    本文基于国际机器人联合会发布的工业机器人安装量数据,研究了以固定资产加速折旧为代表的税收激励政策对企业层面工业机器人渗透度的影响,结果显示:固定资产加速折旧政策的实施显著提升了企业工业机器人渗透度;固定资产加速折旧政策不仅在企业层面形成了融资约束缓解效应,而且对工业机器人渗透度的提升作用在外部资本可得性较低的企业、未获得财政补贴的企业、高强度人力资本行业企业更为显著,融资约束缓解因此被证实是固定资产加速折旧政策影响企业工业机器人渗透度的关键;固定资产加速折旧政策实施所推动的工业机器人渗透度提升最终带来了企业人力资本结构升级以及生产效率、市场价值的提升。
  • MIAO Yan WANG Yuxuan LI Zheng
    Journal of China Economics. 2024, 4(12): 204-234.
    Stimulating consumption potential and shifting from post-pandemic
    recovery to sustained expansion are key tasks for China’s economic work in 2024,
    as emphasized at the 2023 Central Economic Work Conference. Rural areas, an
    important part of the domestic consumer market, have huge consumption
    potential. The per capita consumption of rural residents in China keeps increasing,
    and the growth rate of rural consumption has always been higher than the national
    average. So, exploring the way to fully release the consumption potential of rural
    China is important. Meanwhile, digital inclusive finance is developing rapidly in
    China. A consensus has been reached on its role in promoting consumption growth
    and structural upgrading. However, problems like the large urban-rural gap and
    weak rural development still exist in China, which may lead to issues such as the
    widening income gap and digital divide caused by the development of digital
    inclusive finance. Especially, it’s uncertain whether the development of inclusive
    finance will increase the financial market participation of rural residents and its
    beneficial impact on consumption. Therefore, further studies on inclusive finance
    development, financial market participation and rural consumption are needed.
    Compared with existing literature, this paper has several key contributions. First,
    it integrates the “quantity” and “quality” of rural residents’ consumption into a
    unified framework to systematically explore the impact of digital inclusive

    finance on rural residents’ consumption. Second, it clarifies the indirect

    mechanism of digital inclusive finance in enhancing rural spending power by
    influencing rural residents’ purchase of financial products, enjoyment of financial
    services and obtaining formal credit. Third, it shows that the role of green finance
    varies in different environments. The results of ownership and regional
    heterogeneity provide additional policy insigh
    This paper constructs panel data regression models and latent variable structural
    equation models for empirical analysis. The data on financial inclusion is sourced
    from the Digital Inclusive Finance Index of China compiled by the Digital
    Finance Research Center of Peking University and other data is obtained from
    China Family Panel Studies (CFPS). Meanwhile, due to the incomplete data of
    the latest fifth round survey, and there were many missing values in the first two
    rounds of survey data. Therefore, this paper selected the survey data from the last
    three rounds, namely the 2014, 2016, and 2018 China Family Panel Studies. In
    summary, a balanced panel data was obtained covering three periods (2014,
    2016, and 2018), with a spatial span of 24 provinces and a total of 4406
    households, and number of samples are 13218.
    The paper found the following conclusions: (1) Digital inclusive finance can
    significantly increase the consumption scale of rural residents, and the results
    remain robust after testing. (2) The impact of digital inclusive finance on the scale
    and structure of rural residents’ consumption exhibits significant heterogeneity in
    different regional environments, education levels, and job categories. Specifically,
    the development of digital inclusive finance has a significant impact on the
    consumption of rural residents with relatively abundant financial resources and
    low to medium education levels; In addition, digital inclusive finance has a
    significant impact on the consumption structure of rural residents who are engaged
    in non-agricultural work. (3) Starting from the surplus and shortage sides of funds,
    constructing a structural equation model for mechanism analysis shows that
    investing in financial products and increasing credit scale are important pathways
    for digital inclusive finance to cultivate rural residents’ spending power. In
    particular, increasing the accessibility of rural credit not only expands the
    consumption scale of rural residents, but also helps upgrade their consumption
    structure. The conclusions of this paper provide new evidence for China’s policy of
    expanding domestic demand, which is of decision-making reference significance.

  • LU Jian XING Weibo
    Journal of China Economics. 2024, 4(12): 235-266.
    The question of whether domestic trade in China is more difficult to
    conduct than international trade is closely related to the study of the
    “productivity paradox”. The so-called ‘productivity paradox’ refers to the fact
    that Chinese enterprises that only sell domestically have higher productivity than
    those that export. These conclusions not only contradict a series of empirical
    research results based on developed countries by scholars, but also conflict with
    the theoretical conclusions of Melitz (2003). Although many scholars have
    explained this phenomenon from the perspective of Chinese companies setting up
    sales branches and processing trade overseas, the segmentation of the domestic
    market in China has led to high sales costs, and the phenomenon of “export to
    domestic sales” is widely seen in China. It is difficult to speculate whether there
    is a reason why domestic trade is more difficult to carry out than international
    trade.
    To answer the question of which is more difficult, domestic trade or international
    trade, the author of this article plans to use multiple gravity models to
    quantitatively analyze whether domestic trade in China is more difficult to

    conduct than international trade. By using various gravity models, accurate

    comparative analysis of the costs of domestic and international trade in China can
    be obtained. Considering the significant difference in transportation distance
    between domestic and international trade, we should compare the differences in
    other trade costs between domestic and international trade after excluding
    geographical distance. This approach can also correct the overestimation of the
    possibility of domestic trade due to smaller transportation distances, and fully
    utilize gravity models to control trade distances. The coefficient of the dummy
    variable reflecting the “boundary effect” in the gravity model can represent the
    impact of other costs of trade (which can be referred to as “transaction costs”) on
    trade, excluding geographical distance factors. Also compare and analyze the
    “transaction costs” of China’s domestic trade, international trade, and trade
    between countries around the world. This article calculates the trade volume
    between provinces in China based on the “value-added tax” data from the
    National Golden Tax Project.
    The research results show that China’s domestic trade does not have higher
    transaction costs than international trade, as some scholars speculate. On the
    contrary, even after controlling for the negative impact of geographical distance,
    China’s domestic trade is still easier to conduct than international trade. After
    controlling for other factors, domestic trade is 2.4 to 2.6 times higher than
    international trade. Using the spatial gravity model, we also found that with the
    development of the Chinese economy, the transaction costs of domestic trade are
    gradually decreasing compared to China’s international trade. The conclusion of
    this article can be seen as a direct negation of the speculation about the reasons
    for the “productivity paradox”, and also indicates that China is opening up its
    domestic circulation at a relatively faster pace. The development of the economy
    makes it more profitable to open up the domestic circulation in China than to
    engage in international circulation.
    The analysis results of this article prove that the similar economic system and
    relatively developed transportation network in China make domestic trade
    actually easier to carry out than international trade in various provinces of China.
    Although this conclusion is in line with people’s daily intuition, it breaks
    scholars’ speculation that the segmentation of the domestic market leads to
    Chinese companies prioritizing exports over domestic sales. Although market
    segmentation is common in China and has had a significant impact on its
    economic development, the distortion caused by market segmentation is not yet
    significant enough to make domestic trade more difficult to conduct than
    international trade. The spatial gravity model also shows that with the
    development of the economy, the trade cost of China’s domestic trade has
    significantly decreased compared to China’s international trade, indicating that
    China’s domestic trade has achieved relatively greater development from 2003 to
    2009. In recent years, China has continuously strengthened the construction of
    domestic circulation and a unified national market, built a large number of high
    speed railways to promote the flow of personnel and other factors, and carried
    out extensive business environment construction. Therefore, there should be a
    greater relative reduction in domestic trade costs. We should have more
    confidence in the current smooth domestic circulation and vigorous development
    of domestic trade.

  • QIU Rong TIAN Zihao DING Rui
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 1(13): 59-80.
    Patient capital,as an emerging concept,plays a critical role in addressing the challenges posed by the financialization of real economy enterprises. Unlike traditional shortterm investment models,patient capital emphasizes long-term financial support,reducing firms’ reliance on frequent financial market operations to achieve short-term profitability. This innovative mechanism enables enterprises to allocate resources toward core business development and innovation,effectively mitigating the risks associated with excessive financialization. By fostering stability and growth,patient capital contributes to a healthier economic ecosystem while aligning with broader objectives of sustainability and corporate responsibility. In view of this,this paper investigates the mechanisms through which patient capital reduces uncertainty perception and risk-taking levels,aiming to provide a new perspective on restraining enterprise financialization.
    Theoretically,this paper elaborates on the logical foundation of patient capital in curbing financialization. Patient capital,characterized by its emphasis on long-term orientation,strong risk resilience,and strategic relationship-building,offers enterprises a pathway to financial stability. By ensuring stable and predictable funding sources,patient capital reduces the dependency of firms on short-term financial operations that prioritize quick returns. This shift in focus allows enterprises to reallocate resources toward areas that promote sustainable growth,including core business activities and innovation-driven projects. Furthermore,patient capital investors prioritize long-term value creation over short-term profit maximization,fostering trust-based and cooperative relationships with enterprises. These relationships not only reduce uncertainty perception and risk-taking levels but also optimize the allocation of capital,thereby mitigating the adverse effects of financialization on the real economy. This theoretical framework establishes a solid foundation for understanding the mechanisms through which patient capital can transform enterprise financial strategies.
    Empirically,this study uses data from Chinese listed companies between 2009 and 2022 to examine the effects of patient capital on enterprise financialization. The findings confirm that patient capital significantly restrains financialization,with the results remaining robust after multiple robustness checks and endogeneity discussions. Specifically,patient capital reduces financialization by lowering uncertainty perception and risk-taking levels among enterprises. By providing stable financial support,patient capital minimizes firms’ reliance on short-term profit generation,enabling them to withstand market fluctuations and economic pressures. Moreover,the long-term nature of patient capital facilitates better alignment with firms’ strategic goals,encouraging sustained investment in productive and innovative activities. These findings highlight patient capital’s critical role in stabilizing corporate financial behavior and promoting high-quality economic development.
    Further analysis reveals the heterogeneous effects of patient capital on financialization. When financialization is divided into moderate and excessive levels,the results show that patient capital exerts a stronger restraining effect on excessive financialization. Excessive financialization,characterized by over-investment in financial assets at the expense of productive investment,can lead to the formation of asset bubbles and heightened financial instability. Patient capital mitigates these risks by encouraging enterprises to prioritize longterm investments over speculative financial activities. This effect is particularly significant in reducing the adverse consequences of excessive financialization,including the erosion of productive capacity and increased systemic risk.
    Additionally,this paper identifies the role of patient capital in stabilizing firms’ earnings volatility. Financialization,while offering short-term financial gains,often increases operational risk and revenue instability. Patient capital counters these effects by providing a stable financial foundation,reducing firms’ susceptibility to market fluctuations and enabling them to maintain consistent profitability. This stabilizing effect underscores the inherent tradeoffs in financialization:excessive pursuit of short-term returns can result in high volatility and increased risk exposure,whereas a focus on long-term growth and prudent investment fosters sustainable economic benefits. The findings emphasize that patient capital plays a vital role in addressing the “more haste,less speed” dilemma,where short-term financial pursuits hinder long-term enterprise success.
    This study makes several important contributions to the literature on financialization and corporate governance. First,it provides a theoretical framework for understanding how patient capital influences enterprise financialization through its unique emphasis on long-term stability and risk mitigation. Second,it offers empirical evidence on the mechanisms through which patient capital reduces uncertainty and risk-taking,contributing to the broader understanding of financial stability in the real economy. Third,it demonstrates the significant policy implications of patient capital for fostering sustainable economic growth and preventing excessive financialization.
    This research also offers actionable insights for policymakers and practitioners. Promoting the growth of patient capital should be prioritized to support long-term economic stability and high-quality development in China’s real economy. Furthermore,enhancing the coordination between primary and secondary financial markets can strengthen the foundational support for patient capital. Finally,targeted measures are needed to manage financialization,with a particular focus on preventing excessive financialization among enterprises. By leveraging the unique benefits of patient capital,policymakers can create a more resilient and sustainable economic system.


  • CAO Chunfang MA Xiaoli LIU Wei
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 2(14): 1-16.
    Since the international financial crisis in 2008,the supervision of systemically important financial institutions has become an important part of the global financial supervision reform. Correspondingly,the supervision of systemically important enterprises has gradually attracted more and more attention in enterprise supervision. Enterprise groups play an important role in economy,especially in resource allocation,capital flow and market competition. However,the complex structure and internal market mechanism of enterprise groups have also brought many problems,such as resource mismatch in the internal capital market,tax transfer,pollution transfer and patent transfer. These problems not only affect the efficiency of enterprises themselves,but also have a far-reaching impact on the entire economic system.
    More and more attention has been paid to the development and supervision of systemically important enterprise groups. This paper discusses the development history,problems and governance of enterprise groups. First of all,this paper focuses on the policy and process of enterprise group development since China’s reform and opening up,focusing on the nature of the subsidiaries of China enterprise group (off-site) and the driving factors of its off-site development;This paper discusses the internal market of enterprise groups in the context of China,including the transfer of profits,taxes,debts and earnings management in the internal capital market,as well as the pollution of the new internal market and the patent transfer. Secondly,it analyzes the development process and problems of American enterprise groups’40-year rise and 20-year disappearance since 1888,and the subsequent academic research theories formed in academic circles,and focuses on comprehensively comparing the theoretical and practical differences between the development of Chinese and American
    enterprise groups. Finally,in view of the problems existing in China’s enterprise groups,this paper summarizes the research direction of China’s current enterprise group development and governance,focusing on internal governance,external supervision and the independent knowledge of China enterprise group research.
    It is found that China enterprise groups have played a very good role in the reform and development,but there are also many problems. What needs special attention is that the management of the problems in the development of enterprise groups in China cannot learn from the United States completely,but should give full play to the advantages of enterprise groups and avoid their potential risks according to the development characteristics of enterprise groups in China. The corresponding policy suggestions are as follows.
    First,internal governance:vertical and horizontal penetration of the new company law(generalization of group boundaries). The new “Company Law” further introduces horizontal penetration on the basis of vertical penetration in the protection of creditors’ interests. This change will make it more difficult for vertically penetrated enterprise groups or horizontally penetrated generalized enterprise groups to transfer risks,such as debt transfer,which will be more effectively recovered and improve creditor protection. However,apart from debt transfer,it is actually more difficult to protect rights through vertical and horizontal penetration,which requires further measures by supervision or law.
    Second,external supervision:unify the regional supervision standards for the construction of large markets. The Regulations on Fair Competition Review in 2024 has put forward clear requirements for the review of tax incentives and financial subsidies in different regions,but it is relatively more difficult to unify standards in different regions,such as intellectual property supervision,which leaves more room for inter-regional enterprise groups to transfer their internal markets. Therefore,it is suggested to strengthen specialized cross-regional law enforcement. At present,China has set up four intellectual property courts and 27 intellectual property courts to cover more areas of supervision professionally. At present,there are still 10 provinces and some areas in the province that have not set up intellectual property courts or tribunals. Explore the joint enforcement mechanism of cross-regional intellectual property rights. Promote cross-regional linkage law enforcement supervision,explore cross-regional filing mechanism of intellectual property cases,establish cross-regional “execution connection” mechanism,and establish multi-mediation mechanism for intellectual property disputes. Strengthen the judicial guidance on the application of unified laws,especially for the shortcomings of supervision in areas with weak intellectual property protection,and realize the substantive relative balance of intellectual property supervision in different regions.
    Third,the independent intellectualization of Chinese enterprise group research. According to the needs of practice,we expect the new development of enterprise group theory will gradually transition from the United States to China and other countries. The theoretical development of Chinese-style enterprise groups requires better open communication,active participation in global enterprise group governance,joint response to global challenges,and contribution to the theory and practice of global enterprise group development.


  • Journal of China Economics. 2024, 4(12): 108-142.
    The Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the
    Communist Party of China emphasized the establishment of a mechanism for the
    growth of future industrial investment, and specifically pointed out the need to
    improve the policy and governance system to promote the development of
    strategic industries such as new generation information technology and artificial
    intelligence. At present, the global economy is experiencing a wave of artificial
    intelligence applications of “machine substitution”, which is changing the state
    of global production and trade. This paper uses the CEPII BACI international

    trade database to calculate the ternary margin of exports of 67 countries (regions)

    around the world from 2002 to 2018, measures the quality of export products
    with price margins, and matches the industrial robot data released by the
    International Federation of Robotics to test the impact of artificial intelligence
    applications on the quality of export products. The results show that the
    application of artificial intelligence represented by industrial robots significantly
    improves the quality of export products. The results were robust and persisted
    after replacement of the core explanatory variable, replacement of the
    explanatory variable, the use of explanatory lag, PSM-DID, instrumental variable
    method to alleviate endogeneity problems, and placebo testing. It is found that
    the application of artificial intelligence can improve the quality of export
    products by improving the level of technological innovation, labor productivity
    and optimizing the allocation of resource factors. This paper further finds that the
    effect of AI application in improving the quality of export products needs to be
    supported by a high level of trade facilitation and a strong focus on innovative
    technologies. The analysis in this paper undoubtedly provides a useful reference
    for the development of artificial intelligence and the construction of a trade
    power.

  • CHEN Xiaodong WANG Fang MIAO Zhuang
    Journal of China Economics. 2024, 4(12): 267-308.
    Clarifying the source of agricultural growth is the premise and
    foundation of exploring the sustainable development of agriculture. The classic

    “all-in-one” indicator TFP in the black box is opened in this article by

    decomposing it into technology and efficiency components in terms of input/
    output variables, using growth accounting techniques. The focus of this article is
    on identifying various pathways through which technology and efficiency affect
    TFP and figuring out the most effective channel to boost productivity, which is
    hard to systemically recognize previously. The corresponding empirical
    approximation to the agricultural production frontier is constructed using selected
    country-level data while bounded-adjusted linear programming techniques are
    used to decompose observed country-level agricultural TFP growth into two
    components in terms of input/output variables: technology and efficiency.
    Notably, the resource and environment factors (footprints) are also considered as
    input/output variables estimated using the multi-region input-output model. Also,
    the ideas of value of environmental resources and externality theory are
    embodied in the framework. During the sample period across 2000-2014, it is
    found that leading country group has strongest agricultural productivity growth
    and global agricultural productivity progressed over time. Besides, the most
    effective way to boost world agricultural productivity is to promote the
    performance of technology associated with agricultural energy use and efficiency
    related to agricultural land.
    The productivity growth patterns and its two sources (technology and efficiency),
    as well as the components of individual variable exhibit measurable gaps, both
    from regional and temporal perspectives. Indeed, according to our classification,
    countries clustered into leading one (i. e., Developed, High-income, Urbanized
    group) are possessed with strongest historical productivity gains across the
    sample period. On the contrary, countries clustered into lagging one (i. e., Less
    developed, Lower middle-income and Agriculture-based group) exhibited the
    weakest productivity growth. Notably, different sources are quantitatively
    measured. Taking 43 economies across the sample period, both the technology
    and efficiency contribute to the productivity growth, whereas the effect of
    efficiency is more significant. In particular, the performance of technology
    associated with agricultural energy use and efficiency related to agricultural land
    is prominent. In terms of development level, varied growth patterns of
    productivity in developed and developing countries are exhibited. Technological

    progress of agricultural energy use in developed countries promotes most to their

    productivity progress, whereas efficiency progress of agricultural land exhibited
    prominent effects on developing economies. Such analysis can also be applied to
    other country groups in order to find out the most effective pathways to boost
    agricultural economy. Temporally, the whole sample period is divided into three
    sub-periods. Obviously, the agricultural productivity exhibited growing trends
    over time. Specifically, in the earliest period efficiency promoted productivity
    whereas the contribution of technology is negative. In the middle period,
    productivity growth mainly relies on positive efficiency while converse effect of
    technology impedes the productivity growth. In terms of the latest period, both
    the technology and efficiency have ameliorated positively to promote the
    productivity growth.

  • WU Zhuoyue HE Qinying
    Journal of China Economics. 2024, 4(12): 143-170.
    “Health is the most important indicator of a happy life,” and the
    Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of

    China clearly stated the need to “implement a health-priority development

    strategy.” Against this backdrop, we focus its research perspective on the
    physical health of workers. From the perspective of industrial robot applications,
    it examines the impact of artificial intelligence technology on workers’ physical
    health and conducts a series of mechanism tests and heterogeneity analyses. The
    research results indicate that the application of industrial robots has certain
    physical health effects; specifically, it positively affects workers’ physical health
    by improving the working environment and changing the nature of work, but it
    also negatively impacts workers’ physical health through decreased work income
    and increased working hours. Heterogeneity analysis reveals that household
    registration discrimination can “offset” the physical health benefits that routine
    work performers should otherwise obtain from the application of industrial
    robots. Additionally, this paper finds that “loosening” the constraints of
    household registration can become an important strategy to improve the health
    level of agricultural household registrants and narrow the welfare gap between
    urban and rural residents.

  • ZHANG Liuqin HUANG Jingwei CHEN Ziqian
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 2(14): 17-51.
    Effective governance is an essential requirement for maximizing the advantages of the socialist market economic system. Over the past 40 years of reform and opening up,China’s economy has experienced sustained and rapid growth. The government has served as the body that regulates the market,playing a crucial role in this process. From the market-oriented reform of the macroeconomic system to changes in the microenterprise framework,a series of institutional reforms implemented by the Chinese government have improved and standardized the social governance framework and market order. These reforms have safeguarded the fairness and efficiency of the market environment,promoting the healthy and orderly development of the economy. The government acts as the primary decision-maker behind regional institutional changes,and improvements in governance systems and capacity are critical for making rational policy decisions. In the context of the rapid advancement of global digitization,networking,and intelligence,the process of digital transformation within government is accelerating. The integrated government service platforms are not only a crucial tool for advancing the modernization of China’s governance system and capacity but also an essential pathway for driving the intelligent,digital,and modern development of the economy and society. It plays a significant role in promoting high-quality regional economic development.
    Based on panel data of 283 cities in China from 2009 to 2019,this paper empirically analyzes the economic growth effect of government service integration platforms using Staggered Difference-in-Differences. The results show that:ⅰ.Government service integration platforms can significantly promote the economic growth of cities,enhancing the city’s GDP and total factor productivity (TFP) by about 2.8% and 1.8 percentage points,respectively,with this positive effect expected to increase over time. ⅱ.Creating a favorable business environment,reducing institutional transaction costs,promoting the rapid flow of capital,and improving the efficiency of capital allocation are the intrinsic mechanisms through which government service integration platforms exert economic growth effects. ⅲ.The heterogeneity results indicate that government service integration platforms have stronger economic growth effects in regions with stronger market segmentation,steeper geographical slopes,higher population concentrations,and greater degrees of public data openness. ⅳ.Further analysis shows that government service integration platforms can effectively reduce the economic development gap between cities in the province,significantly improving the imbalance and insufficiency of regional development. They contribute to the achievement of coordinated regional economic development.
    Based on the above research findings,the potential policy implications of this paper are as follows:Firstly,enhance the development of integrated service platforms to accelerate the modernization of the national governance system and enhance capacity. Secondly,broaden and diversify the application scenarios of artificial intelligence technologies,and strengthen the empowering effect of integrated government service platforms. Lastly,continuously expand the openness of public government data,improve data utilization efficiency,and fully leverage data as a production factor to foster high-quality economic development.
    The main contributions of this paper are as follows. Firstly,from a research perspective,this paper leverages government service integration platforms to illuminate the digital government construction process,assessing the economic growth impact of integration platforms across two dimensions:economic “increment” and “quality.” This paper not only broadens the existing research on the economic and social welfare effects of integration platforms but also serves as a valuable addition to the literature on digital government construction. Secondly,this paper establishes that enhancing the business environment,facilitating inter-regional capital flows,and improving capital allocation efficiency are key mechanisms through which integration platforms stimulate urban economic growth,contributing to a deeper understanding of the intrinsic logical relationship between digital government construction and economic development. Thirdly,this paper innovatively analyzes the impact of integration platforms on uneven economic development among cities within a province,empirically verifying the positive role of integration government services in fostering coordinated and balanced regional economic development. This paper offers robust theoretical backing and practical guidance for advancing regional economic integration.


  • ZHANG Qianqian
    Journal of China Economics. 2024, 4(12): 78-107.
    Currently, expanding “effective investment” has become a priority
    for the government. In this context, studying and analyzing how to stimulate
    enterprises’ willingness to invest and expand effective enterprise investment
    through external policies is of great practical significance for promoting the high
    quality development of both enterprises and the economy. The investment
    friction theory suggests that factors such as fixed costs, transaction costs, and
    adjustment costs faced by enterprises can restrict their investment decisions and
    hinder the achievement of investment goals. Under China's unique fiscal and
    taxation system, the government has both the motivation and the ability to
    intervene in the economic development of its jurisdiction. The quality of the local
    business environment determines the flow and agglomeration of essential
    resources, which significantly affects the development quality of enterprises in
    the region. Focusing on the tax domain, and while deepening tax reform, tax
    authorities have begun to address issues such as the high costs of tax compliance
    for enterprises and low levels of tax compliance. To tackle this problem, since
    2013, the country has issued a series of policy regulations aimed at optimizing

    the tax business environment. These reforms address multiple aspects, including

    the tax system, policies, and tax administration, with the goal of building a tax
    ecosystem that prioritizes the core interests of taxpayers.
    The “Decentralization, Regulation, and Service” reform of the tax system
    impacts enterprise effective investment through three aspects: “streamlining
    administration and delegating power”“combining decentralization with
    regulation” and “optimizing services”. Firstly, through “streamlining
    administration and delegating power”, the tax authorities have simplified tax
    related approvals and procedures, reducing the interference of government
    approval processes in enterprise investment activities. This has significantly
    lowered institutional transaction costs for enterprises, alleviated cash flow
    pressures, granted enterprises greater investment autonomy, and enhanced market
    regulation, thereby aligning investments more closely with company strategies
    and market demands. Secondly, by “combining decentralization with regulation”,
    barriers between various departments have been dismantled, shifting from post
    event crackdowns to preventive measures and increased tax supervision.
    Although heightened supervision may lead to short-term increases in tax burdens
    for some enterprises, which could reduce their willingness to invest, in the long
    run, a fair and just tax business environment will diminish rent-seeking behavior
    and promote better resource allocation, thereby enhancing enterprise investment
    expectations. Thirdly, through “optimizing services”, the tax authorities have
    developed targeted tax service plans for different types of enterprises, ensuring
    that tax incentives are effectively translated into business benefits. This approach
    meets the cash flow needs of enterprises and provides financial support for
    expanding effective investment. Additionally, the tax authorities have improved
    service quality and guided enterprises in tax-related matters. In conclusion, the
    “Decentralization, Regulation, and Service” reform of the tax system can liberate
    enterprises by optimizing the tax business environment, motivating them to
    expand effective investment in terms of both capacity and willingness. To verify
    this hypothesis, this paper analyzes A-share company data from 2012 to 2022,
    using the 2017 and 2018 reform as quasi-natural experiments. A multi-period
    difference-in-differences model is constructed to empirically test the impact and
    mechanisms of the optimized tax business environment on effective enterprise
    investment.
    Compared to existing literature, this paper makes the following marginal
    contributions: Firstly, it enriches the research on the tax business environment.
    While numerous scholars have studied the impact of the business environment on
    micro-enterprises, very few have focused specifically on the tax domain. This
    paper clarifies how optimizing the tax business environment influences enterprise
    investment behavior from a tax perspective, thereby expanding and enriching the
    current body of research. Secondly, this paper emphasizes effective investment
    and considers both the quantity and quality of investment. Merely requiring
    enterprises to continuously expand their investment scale may not necessarily
    benefit high-quality enterprise development. It is equally important to focus on
    investment efficiency and address issues of underinvestment and overinvestment.
    This paper empirically tests the impact and mechanisms of optimizing the tax
    business environment on both the scale and efficiency of enterprise investment,
    and in its expanded analysis, examines whether this optimization can genuinely
    promote high-quality enterprise development. Thirdly, this paper utilizes the
    “Decentralization, Regulation, and Service” reform of the tax system as a quasi
    natural experiment, employing a multi-period DID method to analyze the impact
    of optimizing the tax business environment on enterprise investment. This
    approach helps alleviate potential endogeneity issues and provides valuable
    insights for optimizing the tax business environment, stimulating enterprise
    investment, and promoting the high-quality development of both enterprises and
    the economy.
    The research conclusions of this paper are as follows: Firstly, compared to non
    pilot areas, the scale and efficiency of investment by enterprises in pilot areas
    have significantly improved, indicating that the optimization of the tax business
    environment is conducive to increasing both the quantity and quality of
    enterprise investment. These results remain robust after a series of tests.
    Secondly, through mechanism testing, it is found that the optimization of the tax
    business environment primarily expands the scale of enterprise investment by
    reducing financing constraints and enhances investment efficiency by curtailing
    managerial rent-seeking behavior. Thirdly, heterogeneity testing reveals that the
    policy effect is more pronounced in regions with strong tax collection and
    management, low levels of marketization, as well as among large-scale
    enterprises and non-state-owned enterprises. Fourthly, in the expanded analysis,
    it is found that optimizing the tax business environment not only expands
    effective investment but also improves total factor productivity and promotes
    high-quality development for enterprises. Based on these conclusions, the the
    “Decentralization, Regulation, and Service” reform of the tax system has proven
    effective and can be gradually implemented nationwide. Finally, this paper offers
    policy recommendations for building a favorable tax business environment,
    focusing on promoting tax legalization, modernizing services, and enhancing
    informatization in tax collection and management.

  • LIU Zilan, YE Yifeng
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 1(13): 189-217.
    This article uses data from the China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) and employs the overlapping generation model and the difference in differences model to theoretically and empirically test the impact of integration of urban and rural pension insurance on the economic resilience of rural households. The empirical results show that integration of urban and rural pension insurance promote the economic resilience of rural households,and this effect shows an inverted “U” shape due to changes in regional social security levels,family life cycles,and income levels. This effect is more pronounced in samples from regions with medium social security levels,middle-aged families,and low - to middle-income families. Mechanism analysis shows that integration of urban and rural pension insurance can not only alleviate short-term risk shocks,but also cultivate the longterm development ability of rural households by increasing household financial asset allocation and adjusting livelihood strategies,thereby enhancing their economic resilience. The research findings in this article have policy implications for optimizing the design of the social insurance system and promoting integrated urban-rural development.
    The vision of “providing care and joy for the elderly” is a beautiful aspiration for achieving a harmonious society. In theory,the improvement of a social security system that covers both urban and rural residents can help narrow the urban-rural gap,improve income distribution,enhance the quality of life and welfare for the rural population,and act as a “regulator” of social equity and a “driving force” for social development. However,existing studies on the effects of the integration of urban and rural pension insurance have mainly focused on static economic growth aspects such as the income and consumption of rural households. There is relatively limited literature that directly links the integration of urban and rural pension insurance to the future welfare of rural households,quantifying its long-term effects. Therefore,this paper,within a micro-welfare analysis framework,takes economic resilience as an entry point to analyze the role of urban and rural pension insurance integration in promoting the long-term development of rural households.
    Using data from the China Household Finance Survey (CHFS) for 2013,2015,and 2017,and treating China’s integration reform of urban and rural pension insurance as a quasi-natural experiment,this paper empirically examines the impact of urban and rural pension insurance integration on the economic resilience of rural households and its mechanisms. The results show that the integration of urban and rural pension insurance helps enhance the economic resilience of rural households,and this effect exhibits regional and household heterogeneity,with a greater impact on samples from regions with moderate levels of social security,middleaged households,and low and middle-income households. Further analysis indicates that the integration of urban and rural pension insurance not only mitigates short-term risk shocks but also fosters the long-term development capacity of rural households by increasing household financial asset allocation and adjusting livelihood strategies,thereby improving their economic resilience.
    Our research provides a social insurance-based solution to enhance the economic resilience of rural households and offers empirical evidence and policy recommendations for the optimization of the urban-rural residents’ basic pension insurance system. The study shows that the integration of urban and rural pension insurance plays an important role in improving the economic resilience of rural households. Therefore,efforts should be made to actively promote the economic effects and broader benefits of the urban-rural pension insurance system,encourage rural households to participate in the insurance scheme,and incentivize households to increase their contribution levels. At the same time,the government should consider adopting appropriate premium reduction and subsidy measures in the design of the urban-rural pension insurance system to alleviate the payment burden on rural households.


  • HUANG Bingyi ZHANG Tianyi
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 1(13): 106-128.
    Information disclosure is a key factor influencing the effectiveness of capital markets. Perfecting the information disclosure system of listed companies and deepening capital market reforms are hot issues of concern for regulatory authorities and academia. Financial information is increasingly unable to meet the increasingly diverse information needs of investors. Operational information disclosure such as management discussions and analyses has gradually become a focus of attention for investors and academia. However,there has been little research on the economic consequences of industry-specific operational information disclosure. In recent years,the yields of financial products and real estate investments have remained high for many years,and the number of entities engaged in financial product investments has continued to increase. The trend of entities becoming more financially oriented is becoming increasingly evident,and the problem of “moving away from the real economy towards the virtual economy” is becoming more serious. Against this background,this article takes industry-specific operational information disclosure as a starting point to explore the impact and economic consequences of industry information disclosure on corporate financialization.
    This article takes companies listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange as the research sample and constructs a multi-timepoint difference-in-differences regression model using the successive releases of the “Industry Information Disclosure Guidelines” between 2015 and 2021 to examine the impact of industry information disclosure on corporate financialization. Empirical tests reveal a significant negative correlation between industry information disclosure and corporate financialization,indicating that industry information disclosure can restrain corporate financialization behavior. The above findings remain robust after conducting placebo tests,PSM+DID tests,and other robustness tests. In further research,this article conducts heterogeneity analyses of market competition,and management experience. It is found that industry information disclosure has a stronger inhibitory effect on corporate financialization in companies in low market competition,and less management experience. In the mechanism test,this paper finds that industry information disclosure inhibits corporate financialization through the learning imitation effect of information spillover and the governance effect of improving information transparency. Additionally,industry information disclosure can also inhibit management financialization behavior through the external governance function of information disclosure. Furthermore,industry information disclosure promotes corporate real investment,enhances investment efficiency,and helps companies “move from the virtual economy to the real economy,” indicating that industry information disclosure plays a positive role in promoting company operations.
    This article not only explores the economic consequences of industry information disclosure as a form of operational information disclosure but also further enriches the economic consequences of operational information disclosure. It also explores the impact mechanism of operational information disclosure on corporate investment decisions,providing decisionmaking references for regulatory authorities to further deepen industry information disclosure supervision.


  • XU Canyu HU Hongyan LIANG Shangkun
    Journal of China Economics. 2024, 4(12): 171-203.
    The report from the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party
    of China highlighted high-quality development as the primary objective in
    building a modern socialist country. It outlined strategic plans to advance this
    goal. A key focus is to “establish a high-level socialist market economic system,

    enhance the basic socialist economic structure, steadfastly strengthen the public

    economy, and vigorously support and guide the non-public economy.”
    Additionally, it emphasized that “promoting green and low-carbon economic and
    social development is crucial for achieving high-quality development.” In recent
    years, this initiative has become a national strategic priority. On August 11, 2024,
    the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council
    issued the “Opinions on Accelerating the Comprehensive Green Transformation
    of Economic and Social Development,” marking the first comprehensive plan for
    a nationwide green transformation. This provides a clear direction for enterprises
    and raises expectations for corporate ESG investments and sustainable development
    practices. As a vital component of China’s socialist market economy, the private
    enterprise has contributed over 50% of taxes, 60% of GDP, 70% of technological
    innovations, 80% of urban employment, and 90% of enterprises since the reform
    and opening-up. Promoting the green transformation of private enterprises is
    crucial for high-quality economic growth. One effective approach is integrating
    environmental, social, and governance (ESG) responsibilities into corporate
    decision-making. Improving the ESG performance of private enterprises is
    essential for their green transformation and high-quality development, making
    this exploration significant in both theory and practice.
    Current research on corporate ESG performance investigates internal factors like
    high-capacity managers and institutional investor shareholdings, alongside
    external factors like environmental tax laws, air pollution, and green bond
    issuance. Equity structure is foundational to corporate governance (Shleifer and
    Vishny, 1986). The integration of state-owned, collective capital and non-public
    capital can optimize equity structures and create effective governance
    mechanisms. Since the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central
    Committee emphasized developing a mixed-ownership economy, the Chinese
    government has issued policies to promote this integration. Among them, the
    “Opinions of the State Council on the Development of Mixed-Ownership
    Economy by State-owned Enterprises” clearly pointed out that “state-owned
    capital is encouraged to invest in non-state-owned enterprises in various ways
    and actively develop a mixed-ownership economy.” State-owned capital
    investment in private enterprises is a critical aspect of mixed-ownership economy
    development. However, few studies focus on how such investments influence the
    ESG performance of private enterprises from an equity perspective.
    This paper examines the impact of state-owned capital shareholders on the ESG
    performance of private enterprises, using data from Chinese A-share private
    listed companies from 2008 to 2021. Findings indicate that state-owned capital
    shareholders significantly enhance ESG performance. Mechanism tests reveal
    that state-owned capital improves ESG performance by alleviating financing
    constraints and optimizing the information environment. Further analysis shows
    that when private enterprises face high internal business uncertainty, state-owned
    capital shareholders have a stronger impact on ESG performance. In regions with
    less developed non-state economies, the influence of state-owned capital is more
    pronounced. This study highlights the pivotal role of state-owned capital in
    fostering the sustainable development of private enterprises and underscores the
    importance of mixed ownership reform in driving the green transformation of the
    economy and society. The possible research contributions of this paper are: First,
    this paper expands the research on the economic consequences of mixed
    ownership reform of private enterprises from the perspective of ESG
    performance. Second, we enrich the research on factors affecting ESG
    performance from the perspective of equity change. Third, this paper explores the
    internal mechanism of how state-owned capital investing in private enterprises
    affects the ESG performance of enterprises, providing more direct evidence for
    how state-owned capital can help private enterprises transform into green and
    low-carbon enterprises.

  • JIANG Wei GAO Chunxing HU Jinyan
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 1(13): 129-163.
    In recent years,the interaction between local government debts and corporate innovation has garnered significant attention from both academia and policymakers. The Third Plenary Session further highlighted that scientific macroeconomic regulation and effective government governance are intrinsic requirements for leveraging the advantages of the socialist market economy system. It stressed the importance of balancing development and security,preventing local government debt risks,constructing a high-level market economy system,and stimulating society’s intrinsic motivation and innovative vitality. Against this backdrop,this paper leverages a quasi-natural experiment created by the State Council’s special supervision on clearing overdue payments owed by local governments,to investigate the impact mechanism of overdue payment clearance on corporate innovation. This study contributes to a comprehensive understanding of the role of effective local government governance in the development of new-quality productivity in China and provides policy recommendations to consolidate enterprises’ status as the main actors in technology innovation decisions,R&D investment,research organization,and the commercialization of research outcomes.
    This study employs the Difference in Differences (DID) method and Quantile Control Method(QCM),based on the State Council’s special supervision on clearing overdue payments owed by local governments,to examine the promotion effect of overdue payment clearance on corporate innovation. Key findings include:ⅰ.Overdue payment clearance can alleviate liquidity constraints for enterprises,increasing funds available for R&D and thereby enhancing their willingness to invest in innovation. ⅱ.It also optimizes the financing environment and mitigates market distortions,improving valuations of innovation projects and thus boosting enterprises’ inclination towards innovation investment. ⅲ.The governance effects of overdue payment clearance are more pronounced in firms with higher levels of innovation focus and in emerging industries. ⅳ.Further analysis using QCM reveals that regions with dense emerging industries and effective policy implementation,such as Beijing and Hubei,exhibit the most significant policy treatment effects.
    Based on the above analysis,the following policy recommendations are proposed. Firstly,given that overdue payment clearance significantly alleviates liquidity constraints for enterprises,the government should further promote the full implementation of overdue payment clearance,actively push forward the “decentralization,regulation,and service” reform,and timely supervise the effectiveness of these reforms. Land finance has historically driven economic growth while amplifying the fragility of local government finances,particularly through government debt arrears,which have severely undermined the social credit environment and reduced the effectiveness of macroeconomic regulation and government governance. Specialized supervision facilitates the formation of local government debt repayment mechanisms,effectively resolving debt arrears issues,reducing financial burdens for private enterprises,enhancing business credit,and lowering financing costs,thereby fostering effective innovation project investment opportunities and promoting economic restructuring,the development of emerging industries,and the perfection of the socialist market economy system. Notably,despite multiple policies issued by the central government to resolve government debt and support private enterprises,challenges remain in implementation due to objective conditions. During this process,it is essential to adopt stringent measures to prevent the addition of new hidden debts and ensure genuine debt resolution,creating a more favorable business environment for enterprise innovation and encouraging greater engagement in technology innovation and market expansion.
    Secondly,while guarding against local government debt risks,the government must prioritize the critical role of strategic emerging industry enterprises in the innovation-driven development strategy,vigorously cultivating the innovative vitality of private enterprises. Under the support of land finance,local governments often pursued performance-based expansion through excessive financing and large-scale infrastructure investments,leading to crowding out of emerging industry innovation investments and increased government debt pressure. Given the specific deployment of comprehensive deepening reforms outlined in the communiqué of the Third Plenary Session,emphasizing the construction of systems to support comprehensive innovation and the improvement of the macroeconomic governance system,the government should accelerate the establishment of effective governance structures,actively promote fiscal transformation,improve the management system for government debts,establish comprehensive monitoring and regulatory systems for local government debts,and build long-term mechanisms for preventing and resolving hidden debt risks. Accelerating the reform and transformation of local financing platforms and providing strong support for private enterprise innovation is imperative. Local governments need to optimize debt expenditure structures,reasonably expand the scope of support for local government special bonds,and enhance the innovation capabilities and competitive advantage of private enterprises,especially those in emerging industries,through fiscal support,tax incentives,or innovation funds.
    Lastly,according to the QCM assessment results,there are significant differences in the effects of overdue payment clearance policies across different regions. Therefore,the government should tailor corresponding institutional constructions during the clearance process based on the scale of local government debts and regional economic development levels,promoting balanced regional economic development and overall enhancement of innovation capabilities. Establishing sound legal systems,demarcating legal boundaries,and fostering a positive business environment are key to ensuring enterprise innovation and development and are intrinsic requirements for advancing the rule of law. On one hand,robust supervisory and auditing systems for governmental financial management and budget execution should be established,along with internal management and budget control mechanisms to enhance financial transparency and accountability,ensuring timely settlement of enterprise payments and enabling enterprises to protect their legitimate rights when facing arrears. On the other hand,to mitigate adverse impacts on government and social credit environments and enterprise investment caused by government arrears,the New Budget Law and other relevant financial regulations should be used as a basis to explore new methods for repaying remaining arrears,such as asset restructuring and debt swaps,providing legal grounds for enterprises to safeguard their rights and supervise rectification of government arrears,thereby fostering a transparent business environment and a proactive innovation environment that promotes a comprehensive innovation landscape.


  • Deng Jinqian Chi Huiling
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 1(13): 218-239.
    Entrepreneurial activities can enhance income opportunities for farmers,transitioning the rural economy from a “labor-based” to an “entrepreneurial” model. Entrepreneurial activities play a crucial role in activating the endogenous dynamics of rural areas and fostering industrial revitalization. This paper integrates the theory of dissipative structures into the rural industrial revitalization framework,applying interdisciplinary methods to explore how county-level entrepreneurial activities influence industrial revitalization. Using panel data from 2,045 counties between 2011 and 2020,this study empirically examines the role of county entrepreneurial activities in promoting rural industrial revitalization. The findings indicate that these activities attract negative entropy flows—such as information and material resources—into the revitalization system through increased employment,capital agglomeration,and technological innovation. This process helps establish a stable,orderly dissipative structure that drives industrial revitalization. The heterogeneity analysis reveals that the positive impact of county-level entrepreneurial activities on industrial revitalization is more pronounced in western regions and in counties not part of e-commerce demonstration zones.
    This paper offers two key innovations:First,it applies the theory of dissipative structures to rural industrial revitalization,using an interdisciplinary approach to examine the relationship between county-level entrepreneurship and industrial revitalization from a novel perspective. Second,it focuses on the county level,a crucial link in urban-rural integration,and measures industrial revitalization across four dimensions:agricultural industry chain extension,agricultural multifunctionality,the development of agricultural and rural service industries,and the establishment of benefit linkage mechanisms. This empirical analysis expands the research scope beyond provincial or prefectural levels,addressing the limitations in existing literature. Based on the findings,this paper proposes several policy recommendations:
    First,rural areas should leverage local industries and resources to actively promote entrepreneurship and provide diverse employment opportunities for farmers. Support for sustainable agricultural practices,such as organic farming,should be strengthened,ensuring economic and ecological balance. Social capital should be encouraged to invest in rural projects,utilizing financial tools like angel investments and equity funding to facilitate economic transformation. Integrating resources such as capital,talent,technology,and markets will ensure the sustainability of entrepreneurial activities. Digital technologies and ecommerce should be used to foster new “agriculture+” business models,enabling integrated rural industry development and improving the business environment,which will support farmers’ income growth and county-level economic development.
    Second,policy support and capital investment should be prioritized in western regions and none-commerce demonstration counties. Infrastructure improvements in roads,railways,and logistics will reduce business costs,enhance agricultural product distribution,and foster rural industrial expansion. Talent attraction mechanisms,including entrepreneurship subsidies and housing support,should be implemented to encourage young professionals to start businesses in rural areas. Additionally,expanding digital inclusive finance will help alleviate funding constraints and lower barriers for entrepreneurs.
    Third,rural industries based on local resources should be developed. Encouraging farmers to diversify into industries such as specialty farming,handicrafts,and forest-based economies will improve industrial structure and promote value-added sectors. This will shift rural industries from isolated production to integrated value chains covering production,sales,and services. Leveraging local cultural heritage and natural resources will create employment opportunities and foster a feedback loop where entrepreneurship drives job creation. Developing local brands and region-specific products will enhance the economic competitiveness of rural industries.
    Finally,“return-home entrepreneurship” policies should be strengthened to increase awareness and participation. Tailored policies should be developed for different villages based on local conditions. Using technology to provide farmers with market information will expand their opportunities and break geographical barriers. Legal support should be offered to ensure entrepreneurs understand key regulations. Training programs will improve business management skills and encourage innovation,helping to reduce system entropy and achieve comprehensive rural revitalization.


  • AN Huizhi
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 1(13): 164-188.
    The Third Plenary Session of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China proposed to build a system and mechanism to support comprehensive innovation and to enhance the overall effectiveness of the national innovation system. One of the important specific reform measures is to increase the proportion of the policy of pre-tax deduction for R&D expenses. At present,China’s current policy of pre-tax deduction for R&D expenses stipulates that the percentage of deduction for independent and collaborative innovation activities of general enterprises is 100%,and the percentage of deduction for independent and collaborative innovation activities of integrated circuit enterprises and machine tool enterprises is 120%. In practice,how should the proportion of the policy of pre-tax deduction for R&D expenses be increased?Should the proportion of deduction for independent innovation and collaborative innovation be increased in the same proportion,or should there be a tendency to give more policy incentives for a certain R&D method?What is the rationale?Much literature has examined the innovation incentive effects of the policy of pre-tax deduction for R&D expenses. However,the existing literature has not fully understood the impact of the policy of pre-tax deduction for R&D expenses on firms’ collaborative innovation. With the development of the times and the increasing complexity of technology,R&D need to be carried out more and more cooperatively,and the latest research suggests that collaborative innovation can play an important role in accelerating the solution to the scientific and technological “necklace” problems that China faces. Accelerating the self-reliance of highlevel science and technology requires the integration of high-quality innovation resources from society,and cooperation between enterprises can improve the efficiency of innovation by sharing. Only by comprehensively recognizing the implementation effect of the policy of pretax deduction for R&D expenses can we provide valuable lessons for the next policy reform. This study mainly discusses the impact of the current policy of pre-tax deduction for R&D expenses on the collaborative innovation activities of enterprises from both theoretical analysis and empirical tests.
    In contrast to the common belief that the policy of pre-tax deduction for R&D expenses will incentivize enterprises to engage in innovation activities,the theoretical analysis finds that the policy of pre-tax deduction for R&D expenses will change the costs of independent and collaborative innovation in R&D projects,which will affect the relative size of the expected benefits that enterprises can get from choosing to complete R&D projects in an independent or collaborative way,and may lead to the fact that enterprises are more inclined to engage in independent innovation activities. Using the data of listed private companies in China’s manufacturing industry,a Difference-in-Differences model is established to conduct an empirical study,and the results show that the policy significantly increases the R&D investment intensity and the number of independent invention patents filed by enterprises,but significantly reduces the number of joint invention patents filed by enterprises with high R&D investment intensity. For enterprises,they can or should choose whichever innovation method can be more profitable. However,the policy of pre-tax deduction for R&D expenses is funded by the state,and it is important to evaluate the social impact of the policy in changing the tendency of enterprises’ R&D methods. The cost of independent innovation is higher than that of collaborative innovation,and if there are enough R&D project plans and financial constraints on firms’ innovation activities,a change in the propensity of firms’ R&D approaches will lead to a decline in the number of differentiated R&D tasks that firms can undertake and relatively few breakthrough innovations,relative to what would have been possible if the policy had not changed the propensity of firms to innovate in a differentiated way. A change from one collaborative innovation activity to several independent innovations and an increase in the number of R&D projects that need to be supported by financial resources can lead to a waste of financial resources.
    Internationally,tax incentives for R&D expenses are also commonly practiced in developed countries. Countries such as France and Japan have set a high percentage of R&D expense credit for collaborative innovation activities. According to Article 244 of the French tax law,the tax credit ratio for the part of qualified R&D expenses of enterprises less than or equal to 100 million euros is 30%;the tax credit ratio for the part greater than this amount is 5%;the tax credit ratio for qualified R&D expenses incurred by enterprises in collaborative R&D is 40% for large enterprises and 50% for small and medium-sized enterprises. Japan’s tax incentives for R&D expenses stipulate that the credit ratio for qualified R&D expenses is 2%-14% for large enterprises and 12%-17% for SMEs. For collaborative R&D or entrusted R&D,the credit rate is 30% for R&D expenses incurred with scientific research institutes or higher education institutions,25% for R&D expenses incurred with R&D venture corporations,and 20% for R&D expenses incurred with other entities (including large enterprises). The higher credit rate for R&D expenses incurred in collaborative innovation activities is a reflection of the emphasis on collaborative innovation in the above countries. This study concludes that the above policy design is less likely to crowd out collaborative innovation activities and has a better policy effect than the current policy design in China. It is suggested that when adjusting the policy of pre-tax deduction for R&D expenses,differentiated pre-tax deduction ratios should be designed for independent and collaborative innovation activities of enterprises,and higher pre-tax deduction ratios should be set up for collaborative innovation activities of enterprises relative to independent innovation activities,so as to improve incentives for collaborative innovation activities and make the policy serve better for the development goal of “realizing a high level of scientific and technological self-reliance and entering the forefront of innovative countries”.


  • Wu Maohua Wang Dihai
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 2(14): 52-82.
    China’s economy is undergoing a transition from a high-speed growth phase to a high-quality development phase,with industrial structural transformation being a key feature of this process. In the early stages of reform and opening-up,the proportion of industrial added value to GDP was 47.7%. With the advancement of reform and industrialization,this proportion remained stable at around 45% for a long period. However,since 2011,as economic growth slowed,the proportion of industrial added value gradually declined from 46.5% to 38.6% in 2019. Meanwhile,the ratio of service sector output to industrial output in the non-agricultural sector has also undergone significant changes,rising from 0.52 in 1978 to 1.41 in 2019. Particularly since 2011,the acceleration in the growth rate of the service-toindustrial output ratio indicates that industrial structural transformation has entered an accelerated phase. Against this backdrop,Premier Li Qiang emphasized in the 2023 Government Work Report the need to vigorously promote innovation-driven development and facilitate the optimization and upgrading of industrial structures. The 2025 Government Work Report further proposed striving to increase the proportion of added value from core digital economy industries to around 10% of GDP,charting a course for high-quality economic development in the new era. However,the process of industrial structural transformation faces numerous challenges,such as Baumol’s cost disease in the service sector,which may hinder long-term economic growth. Against this backdrop,this paper takes the “Broadband China” strategy as an entry point to explore the impact of digital infrastructure on industrial structural transformation and its mechanisms,aiming to provide theoretical and empirical support for relevant policy formulation. This paper constructs a theoretical model and employs the Difference-in-Differences (DID) method to empirically examine the impact of digital infrastructure on industrial structural transformation and its mechanisms. The results show that digital infrastructure significantly slows down the pace of industrial structural transformation,specifically manifested in a decline in the growth rate of the service-to-industrial output ratio. Mechanism analysis further validates the hypothesis that the industrial sector has a higher capital output elasticity and indirectly confirms the important role of digital infrastructure in promoting labor-biased technological progress. Specifically,digital infrastructure enhances labor-biased technological progress by improving urban innovation levels,optimizing the business credit environment,and promoting market-oriented development,thereby slowing down the pace of industrial structural transformation towards the service sector. This study fills a gap in the existing literature on the relationship between digital infrastructure and industrial structural transformation,providing new theoretical insights into the critical role of the digital economy in high-quality economic development.
    Based on the findings,this paper proposes the following policy recommendations:First,there should be an acceleration in the construction of digital infrastructure,particularly in less developed regions,to narrow the digital divide and promote balanced development of the digital economy. Second,the government should increase support for technological innovation in the service sector,fostering deeper integration between the service sector and digital technologies to enhance the sector’s technological progress rate and mitigate the potential negative impact of Baumol’s cost disease on economic growth. Third,policymakers should focus on optimizing the business credit environment and market-oriented development to create favorable conditions for enterprise innovation and technological investment,thereby promoting labor-biased technological progress and driving industrial structural optimization and upgrading. Fourth,there should be an emphasis on cultivating and attracting high-skilled labor to meet the new demands of the digital economy for labor skill structures,providing talent support for high-quality economic development. This research offers a scientific basis for the government to formulate more precise and effective digital economy policies,contributing to the optimization and upgrading of industrial structures and the achievement of high-quality economic growth.
    Keywords:Digital Infrastructure;Structural Transformation;“Broadband China”;Quasinatural Experiment

  • LIAO Kaixian, CHEN Diexin
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 2(14): 215-246.
    Enterprises,as the core of economic activities,are the main energy consumers and polluters,so enhancing the transparency of corporate environmental information has become an important part of the construction of ecological civilization system. Truthful and complete environmental information disclosure is not only a necessary condition for assessing the environmental performance of enterprises,but also a fundamental work for fighting the battle against pollution and promoting the modernization of ecological and environmental governance. In recent years,China has gradually improved its environmental information disclosure system,but it has not yet formed a unified environmental information disclosure framework that restricts the scope of disclosure of environmental matters and the form of textual descriptions,which gives enterprises greater discretion in disclosing environmental information. At present,some scholars have pointed out the existence of pseudo-social responsibility behavior of enterprises,which is specifically manifested in the publication of Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) reports to whitewash operational issues. Research shows that the worse the performance of enterprises,the higher the degree of impression management of their CSR reports,and such CSR reports not only fail to improve the transparency of information,but also exacerbate the differences in the ratings of rating agencies on CSR due to excessive disclosure of social responsibility information. However,there is still a relative lack of research from the perspective of small and medium-sized investor protection.
    In order to strengthen the protection of the interests of small and medium-sized shareholders,the relevant authorities,drawing on the advanced experience of developed western capital markets,have innovatively adopted a number of measures,including the independent director system,aimed at safeguarding the interests of small and medium-sized shareholders,and in 2014,the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) further established the Small and Medium-sized Investor Service Centre (ISC),which is aimed at enhancing the participation and influence of small and medium-sized shareholders in corporate governance. Currently,studies on the ISC mainly focus on assessing the specific regulatory effectiveness of its establishment on the protection of small and medium-sized investors’ interests. In addition,some studies have also examined the potential impact of the exercise of shareholders’ rights by ISC through shareholding on the enhancement of financial transparency and surplus management of listed companies. However,as an institutional innovation,the far-reaching impact of ISC on corporate environmental information disclosure,which is a focus area for both investors and regulators,needs to be analyzed and explored in greater detail and depth. To this end,this paper constructs a quasi-natural experiment against the background of the pilot of the ISC launched by the CSRC in 2016,elucidates the theoretical mechanism of regulatory minority shareholders’ influence on corporate environmental information whitewashing behaviors based on the data of China’s A-share listed companies from 2013-2017,and conducts an empirical study from the perspective of empirical analysis. Compared with the existing studies,the possible marginal contributions of this paper are as follows:firstly,it expands the research dimension of the economic effects of investment service centers by cutting from the perspective of corporate environmental information disclosure. The established literature mostly focuses on the positive effects of investment service centers on the protection of small and medium-sized investors’ interests,but lacks attention to the disclosure behavior of listed companies. This paper examines the impact of the pilot investment service center on listed companies from the perspective of environmental information disclosure quality and actual environmental protection behaviors,and reveals the micro-mechanism of regulatory minority shareholders’ suppression of corporate environmental information whitewashing. Secondly,this paper constructs a theoretical model,introduces the factors of investment service center pilot,corporate environmental information whitewashing and ESG rating,and explores the mechanism of the impact of the pilot construction of the investment service center on the implementation of environmental information whitewashing by enterprises through model derivation and empirical testing,which expands the interactive relationship between investors and regulators,and enriches the research on the factors influencing the environmental information whitewashing by enterprises at the regulatory level. Third,this study provides multiple insights into environmental governance practices under the “dual-carbon” goal,which not only helps to understand the role of the pilot ISC in supervising corporate environmental information disclosure and improving corporate environmental performance,but also reduces the incentives for corporate environmental information manipulation,strengthens the capacity of the capital market in identifying green enterprises,and guides the flow of ESG funds to low-carbon transition areas,thus helping to synergize the “dual-carbon” goal with high-quality development,which is an important reference value for the construction of a beautiful China in which human beings and nature coexist harmoniously and for realizing the Chinese dream of the great revival of the Chinese nation.

  • ZHANG Yi LIANG Yongfu
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 2(14): 190-214.
    Under the economic downturn,flexible employment has quickly become a “reservoir” to absorb the labor force and a “relief valve” to ease unemployment. According to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics,the overall scale of flexible employment in China reaches about 200 million in 2020. College graduates become the main force of flexible employment based on the “China Flexible Employment Development Report (2022)”,the proportion of enterprises using flexible employment reached 61% in 2021. Flexible employment becomes the mainstream employment form. Therefore,from the perspective of income distribution,can flexible employment reduce the income inequality among different occupations,narrow the income gap and promote common prosperity?
    Based on the panel data of the China Labor-force Dynamics Survey in 2014 and 2016,this paper examines the impact of flexible employment on income inequality and its mechanism by using the analysis method of the RIF (Recentered Influence Function) grouped treatment effect model. The results show that flexible employment can reduce the overall income inequality and promote common prosperity. The analysis by urban and rural areas indicates that flexible employment mainly narrows the overall income gap by reducing income inequality in rural areas and the income gap between urban and rural areas. After decomposing the influencing factors of income inequality among flexible employees,it is found that the reduced income gap of flexible employment in rural areas can be partly explained by the differences in workers’human capital characteristics,while the income inequality caused by flexible employment in urban areas cannot be explained by market factors. The results of the heterogeneity analysis show that flexible employment has a greater impact on low - and middle - income groups,men,and high - skilled workers in rural areas. After a series of robustness tests on the definition of flexible employment,the division of urban and rural areas,and the measurement indicators of inequality,the above conclusions remain robust. The mechanism analysis shows that the alleviation of income inequality in rural areas is because flexible employment,as a form of employment with higher income than agriculture,enables low - skilled workers engaged in agriculture to significantly increase their income after switching to flexible employment,thus reducing the income inequality within rural areas. However,the income of flexible employment is not higher than that of other non-agricultural employment.
    According to the research conclusions of this paper,the following policy implications can be drawn:First,flexible employment plays a role in reducing overall income inequality,mainly reducing the inequality within rural areas and the income gap between urban and rural areas. Flexible employment improves inequality through three mechanisms:First,occupational conversion. The income of flexible employment is significantly higher than that of agriculture,and low - skilled workers can achieve an income leap through occupational conversion. Second,human capital screening. High-skilled individuals are more likely to enter the flexible employment market,and their income premium narrows the internal gap in rural areas. Third,social network diffusion. Successful experiences drive the income increase of surrounding groups through the demonstration effect. In urban areas,flexible employment is squeezed by the institutional segmentation of the labor market and market exclusion,and flexible employees are mostly concentrated in low-skilled industries. This urban-rural difference highlights the complexity of policy design. Therefore,rural areas need to strengthen the inclusiveness of flexible employment,and urban areas need to break down the institutional barriers for flexible employees to integrate into the city. Future policies should establish an urban-rural coordination mechanism. For example,through household registration reform,promote the flow of high-skilled workers from rural areas to urban formal sectors,and at the same time,accelerate the pace of covering flexible employment groups in the urban social security system.
    Second,flexible employment can be an important path for inclusive income growth in rural areas. It helps workers with employment difficulties in rural areas increase their income and reduce income inequality. Although flexible employment does not have an absolute income advantage compared with other non-agricultural employment,for rural areas lacking nonagricultural employment opportunities,its low-threshold feature makes it an employment option for farmers with limited resources,with a relative income advantage,and it becomes an important choice for rural residents to get out of poverty and increase their income. It is recommended to construct a rural policy system of “platform empowerment-skill improvement”:First,deepen the integration of the platform economy and rural industries. The government can set up special funds for the development of the rural platform economy to support the construction of rural e-commerce platforms,encourage platform enterprises to cooperate with rural cooperatives and farmers,expand the sales channels of agricultural products,and create flexible employment positions such as agricultural product packaging,online customer service,and logistics distribution for rural labor force. Second,establish a hierarchical and classified skill training mechanism. Carry out platform-employment skill training for rural labor force,and cooperate with professional training institutions to enhance the ability of rural residents to participate in flexible employment. By creating more flexible employment positions,help the disadvantaged employment groups in the labor market transfer from agriculture,and overall increase the income level of rural areas and reduce the urban-rural income gap.
    Finally,compared with formal employees,urban flexible employees are obviously at a disadvantage in terms of social security and labor rights protection. To solve this dilemma,it is necessary to construct a policy system of institutional reform-market regulation-social security:First,break down the segmentation of the labor market. The government should further deepen the reform of the household registration system,reduce the institutional barriers to entering the labor market in urban areas,relax the urban household registration conditions,and allow those who have been engaged in flexible employment in the city for a certain number of years and paid social insurance to register for household registration. Second,promote the decoupling of the household registration system from public services,establish a connection mechanism between residence permits and household registration,and achieve equal access to public services such as employment,education,and medical care for flexible employees and local registered residents. Third,innovate the social security model,explore the social security payment mechanism for new employment forms,and include flexible employment in the coverage of work-related injury insurance and endowment insurance. By eliminating institutional barriers and improving the market environment,gradually realize the transition of flexible employees from marginal groups to formal employment,and finally form an inclusive growth pattern.


  • OUYANG Hongbing, LIU Xiaojun, ZHAO Yue, HUANG Kang
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 2(14): 159-189.
    Under the current strategic goal of high-quality economic development in China,preventing and defusing financial risks and optimizing the capital structure of enterprises have become policy priorities. Against this policy backdrop,the issue of enterprise leverage adjustment has become particularly important. As the main channel for external financing of enterprises,the increasingly intense competitive behavior of commercial banks has a particularly crucial impact on the speed of enterprise leverage adjustment. By deeply exploring the role of bank competition in the dynamic trade-off process,this study aims to reveal the allocation mechanism of bank credit resources under conditions of information asymmetry and policy changes. It also provides theoretical basis and practical guidance for the optimal allocation of financial resources,efficient leverage adjustment of enterprises,and policy formulation.
    This study utilizes relatively exogenous information on commercial bank branches. Starting from the perspective of the geographical clustering distribution characteristics of branches,combined with the competitive behavior characteristics of commercial bank branches,a more economically meaningful commercial bank competition index is constructed. The competition level faced by enterprises is depicted from the perspective of the geographical clustering distribution of commercial bank branches. The impact of this competition on the speed of enterprise leverage adjustment and its mechanism are empirically tested. The study finds that intensified competition among commercial banks leads to a slower adjustment speed of leverage for listed companies,and this effect is particularly significant for companies with insufficient financing. Although the deleveraging policy helps enterprises approach the optimal leverage level more quickly,it also indirectly slows down the leverage adjustment speed by intensifying competition among commercial banks. This indicates that the deleveraging policy further amplifies this negative impact through the path of commercial bank competition. Further tests reveal that intensified competition among commercial banks worsens the external financing constraints of enterprises,thereby increasing the cost of leverage adjustment and slowing down the adjustment speed. Bank competition not only increases the financing of overleveraged enterprises but also reduces the actual leverage level of under-leveraged enterprises,thereby hindering their approach to the optimal leverage level. Moreover,the implementation of the deleveraging policy has also exacerbated this negative impact to a certain extent. Additionally,we find that the information cost of enterprises is also an important factor affecting the speed of leverage adjustment. The results of heterogeneity analysis show that the signaling role of commercial credit weakens in an environment of intense bank competition,thereby increasing information costs. However,the positive information in the annual report text sentiment and upward earnings adjustment can alleviate the negative impact of bank competition on the speed of leverage adjustment. A higher degree of marketization corresponds to the “winner’s curse” stage of bank competition,which increases the information acquisition cost of enterprises and hinders their approach to the optimal leverage level. Moreover,in the context of intensified bank competition,the leverage adjustment speed of private enterprises is more severely affected. This study reveals the complex relationship between bank competition,the speed of enterprise leverage adjustment,and information costs.
    In the current context of intensified bank competition,the problem of information asymmetry between banks and enterprises remains a core bottleneck restricting the efficiency of China’s credit market. Based on the research conclusions of this study,policy recommendations are proposed from four levels:banks,enterprises,regulatory authorities,and policies. This study not only provides new empirical evidence on the credit behavior between banks and enterprises and its impact on leverage adjustment under the background of intensified bank competition,but also offers important policy references for optimizing the allocation efficiency of financial resources in China’s market and improving the quality of bank-enterprise credit.


  • WANG Xiuhua CHEN Qianda
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 2(14): 110-133.
    Supporting rural entrepreneurship is a useful measure to implement the strategy of giving priority to employment under the background of comprehensively promoting rural revitalization. Based on CFPS data,this paper empirically analyzes the impact of fiscal and financial collaboration on farmer entrepreneurship at the micro household level and its mechanism by using Probit model. The empirical study found that fiscal and financial cooperation can significantly improve the probability of farmers’ entrepreneurship. Mechanism analysis shows that fiscal and financial coordination can stimulate farmers’entrepreneurial decision-making by enhancing their social capital and improving their human capital investment level. Further analysis shows that financial synergy has a stronger effect on promoting entrepreneurship in rural families with higher happiness of life,relatively weak regional economic strength and relatively high natural population growth rate. This paper provides some experience and policy enlightenment for how to effectively play the effect of fiscal and financial cooperation to promote farmers’ entrepreneurship and improve the fiscal and financial policy system to support agriculture.
    The possible marginal contributions of this paper mainly include the following aspects:First,this paper makes up for the relative deficiencies in the research field of the impact and mechanism evaluation of fiscal and financial synergy on farmers’ entrepreneurship at the micro household level. At present,there are few historical literatures to explore whether the entrepreneurial possibility of farmer families with the collaborative support of fiscal and financial resources will be improved. This paper uses the micro-data of China Household Tracking Survey (CFPS) conducted nationwide to empirically test the effect of fiscal and financial coordination on farmers’ entrepreneurship through enhancing farmers’ social capital and improving their human capital investment,which provides new micro-evidence for evaluating the effectiveness of fiscal and financial coordination in supporting agricultural economy and promoting farmers’ entrepreneurship. Second,the research of this paper extends the boundary of related research literature on the impact of financing constraints easing on entrepreneurship,and also enriches the relevant research on the marginal factors affecting farmers’ entrepreneurship. This paper is helpful to deepen the overall understanding of the stimulus effect and transmission path of financing constraint easing on entrepreneurship from the perspective of fiscal and financial synergy. Simultaneously injecting fiscal and financial resources into rural households to synergistically support the “two-pronged approach” to alleviate their external financing constraints may have a significant positive impact on farmers’ entrepreneurship. Considering that China is currently vigorously promoting the rural revitalization strategy,There is great potential for cross-sector cooperation between finance and finance to help farmers start businesses and get rich. The research conclusions of this paper can provide some experience inspiration.
    The research conclusions of this paper have the following implications for the promotion of fiscal and financial cooperation to support agriculture. First of all,we should innovate the forms of fiscal and financial coordination and strengthen the application of agriculturesupporting policies with the logic of fiscal and financial coordination. This paper focuses on the micro-effects of fiscal subsidies and financial credit on peasant families at the same time. In practice,fiscal and financial cooperation has rich combination forms and innovation space,which can be manifested in the establishment of cross-departmental communication mechanism between financial departments and financial departments,and can also be reflected in the incentives and constraints of fiscal policies on financial entities. Strengthen the synergistic integration of financial resources and financial resources,“set the stage” for the production and management system of farmers’ families in the form of financial support from government departments,and inject financial resources with the characteristics of agricultureoriented and market-oriented mechanisms,so that financial and financial synergies form a synergy,and the same direction of financial and financial resources is also conducive to greater play to the integration of factors. The synergy of fiscal and financial resources also helps to lead financial capital to play a leverage role and deepen the level of rural capital supporting to achieve more ideal policy goals. Secondly,strengthen fiscal and financial coordination,and enrich the cooperation path of “proactive government” and “efficient market”. Fiscal and financial resource coordination can be based on improving the efficiency of capital,labor and resource allocation. In the future,we will further explore the cooperation path of “proactive government” and “efficient market”,innovate the means of fiscal and financial coordination and other areas of coordination,enrich the available toolbox of fiscal and financial coordination at the micro level,and guide different types of policy tools such as fiscal and tax subsidies,credit assessment,discount interest awards and subsidies,to help achieve multi-level policy goals and cover multiple fields. Finally,the government departments for the target group based on the precise material policies,according to local conditions. In the practice of supporting agriculture,the regional differences of endowments and factors should be fully considered,and the practical demands of groups relatively lacking in endowments and factors should be paid attention to,so that the coordination of financial and financial resources can not only stimulate the endogenous power of relatively vulnerable farmer groups to produce the effect of “delivering coal in the snow”,but also mobilize the entrepreneurial enthusiasm of farmers with higher quality level to exert the effect of “icing on the top”,and help realize the goal of common prosperity.
  • YAN Shuo SHEN Yan LIU Xin REN Ting
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 3(15): 1-51.
    Technology is a key factor driving productivity, while innovation is the core driving force leading development. To achieve technological self-reliance and self-improvement, China urgently needs to quickly build a technology finance service system that closely cooperates with high-quality economic development. In the Central Financial Work Conference to be held in October 2023, technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance, and digital finance were the five financial focus articles, with technology finance ranking first. The ultimate goal of developing technology finance is to effectively serve the real economy, and in the real economy, employment is the biggest livelihood project, popular project, and fundamental project, and the most basic support for economic development. Current research mainly focuses on the promoting effect of technology finance on technology innovation and capital markets, such as analyzing from the perspectives of innovation and high-quality development, technological progress, industrial development and structural upgrading, and financing environment. Although there has been extensive research on the promotion of capital markets and technological innovation by the development of technology finance, there is still a lack of systematic and comprehensive analysis on its specific impact on labor employment, as well as the role that the development of technology finance plays in creating and providing employment opportunities for enterprises. Based on the above analysis, this article aims to explore the impact and mechanism of the development of technology finance on labor employment in enterprises.
    Based on the above research background, this article uses a multi-time incremental double difference method to explore the impact of technology finance development on enterprise labor employment. Furthermore, this article explores the impact mechanism of the development of technology finance on the expansion of employment scale, and verifies the complementary effect of capital and skills. Finally, this article conducts a detailed analysis of the heterogeneity and the differences in this effect among different types of enterprises, industries, and regions. This study found that the development of technology finance has significantly expanded the employment scale of enterprises. The analysis of the mechanism shows that technology finance policies have expanded the employment scale by optimizing the innovation chain, capital chain, and information chain of enterprises. Further examination revealed that technology finance policies not only expanded employment scale, but also promoted the upgrading and transformation of human capital in employment structure, and this effect was mainly concentrated in private enterprises with higher financing costs, verifying the hypothesis of capital skill complementarity. Through heterogeneity analysis, it was found that technology finance policies have a more significant employment promotion effect on capital intensive enterprises, enterprises with high financing constraints, non high tech enterprises, manufacturing enterprises, and enterprises located in regions with higher levels of financial regulation and financial development.
    The contributions of this article to the existing research are as followed. Firstly, this study contributes to a micro level understanding of the impact of new forms of financial development on labor employment in enterprises. Existing research mainly explores the impact of different dimensions of economy and finance on total employment from a macro perspective, such as trade liberalization and the effects of fiscal policies, labor market flexibility, etc. on creating new jobs. There is relatively little research from a micro perspective, mainly focusing on evaluating the impact of financial frictions on employment decisions at the enterprise level, labor allocation among producers, and overall unemployment rates. This article enriches and expands the research on the impact of financial development on the real economy from a micro perspective. Secondly, this study contributes to understanding the relationship between new forms of financial development and employment. Existing research on the impact of financial development on employment in enterprises is mostly focused on developed countries, with less research on developing countries. This article is based on the reality of China and uses unique policies as exogenous shocks to supplement from the perspective of the development of technology finance. Thirdly, this article extends the relevant literature on the impact of financial frictions on the labor market. In the context of the development of technology finance and within the framework of unique technology and pilot policies, this article explores the impact of positive external credit availability shocks on enterprises. It proves that changes in external financing not only affect the overall employment scale, but also affect the adjustment of the employment structure of enterprise employees. Furthermore, it analyzes and verifies the complementary effect of capital and high-skilled labor, providing micro evidence for the causal effect of financial constraints on the impact and distribution of capital and labor.
    Based on the analysis in this article, the following policy recommendations are proposed. Firstly, further attention should be paid to the development of technology finance, promoting the high-quality integration of technology and capital, and strengthening policy support for the integration of financial services and technology. Secondly, optimize the regional allocation of technology and financial resources. The effectiveness of technology finance policies in promoting employment varies among different types of enterprises and regions. Thirdly, in the context of policies, enterprises should also make corresponding adjustments to promote high-quality employment. Enterprises should increase their investment in scientific research and innovation, increase their digitalization level. In the era of digitalization and financial innovation, the efforts of both policies and enterprises will empower high-quality and full employment, while helping to achieve a new positioning and mission of employment work in the new era and new journey.
  • LIU Yaobin, XIAO Ting, GUO Na
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 2(14): 83-109.
    The South-to-North Water Transfer Project,as a large-scale water conservancy facility to solve the problem of water shortage in northern China,has injected new vitality into the economic and social development of the regions along the route. However,since the middle route of the project was put into operation at the end of 2014,the artificial use of mountain terrain to achieve the overall goal of self-flow throughout the main canal has caused a geographical division. Due to the altitude difference on both sides of the main canal,the water extraction conditions are different,resulting in differences in agricultural production endowments. Among the three major industries,agriculture is most affected by water resources. Therefore,this paper empirically examines the changes in agricultural output capacity on both sides of the main canal after the water diversion.
    This paper accurately identified the geographical locations of each county through Geographic Information System (GIS) and matched them with the “China County Statistical Yearbook” over the years to construct a panel dataset from 2008 to 2021. Based on this,the paper employed the regression discontinuity design method to examine the impact of the opening of the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project on the agricultural development of the areas along the route. The research results show that:Firstly,the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project has significantly affected the agricultural development gap between the areas on both sides of the route. Specifically,after the water diversion,the average annual growth rate of agriculture in the eastern counties was 2.2 percentage points higher than that in the western counties. This effect has been continuously accumulating over time and has been reproduced under different estimation methods,bandwidth settings,and variable definitions. Secondly,the agricultural growth performance of the eastern counties along the main canal in Hebei Province is more prominent,with its growth rate nearly twice that of Henan Province. Moreover,the construction of the Middle Route Project has not had a significant differential impact on the secondary and tertiary industries. In terms of agricultural product output,the impact of the opening of water to the Central Route Project on the differential change in the output of food and oil crops is more pronounced. In terms of the impact mechanism,the opening of the Middle Route Project mainly affects agricultural development by acting on agricultural labor and agricultural capital.
    The policy recommendations contained herein have distinct guiding significance:Firstly,the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project has promoted the agricultural development along the route. At the same time,it is necessary to be vigilant about the nonequilibrium development of industries. Specifically,the agricultural growth rate in the eastern plain area along the canal is significantly higher than that in the western area. Therefore,a scientific and reasonable water resource allocation plan should be established. Secondly,the further north the location,the more prominent the promoting effect of the opening of the Middle Route Project on the agricultural development of the eastern plain area along the canal,while also exacerbating the non-equilibrium development of agriculture. In this case,water resource allocation should be planned more scientifically and rigorously to promote the rational utilization and sustainable development of water resources. At the same time,for the western areas with insufficient agricultural development endowments,they can optimize the industrial structure to reverse their disadvantages in agricultural development and promote economic growth through industrial structure upgrading.
    Finally,the construction method of the Middle Route Project,which utilizes terrain for gravity flow to reduce water delivery costs,has important demonstration significance. However,this may lead to non-equilibrium development between the areas on both sides of the canal. Therefore,while promoting water conservancy infrastructure construction,the government should make comprehensive plans,especially for regions with relatively disadvantaged development conditions. Relevant departments should make early layouts,increase investment in supporting facilities,ensure water supply,and prevent the non-equilibrium development. This research aims to provide a reference for the pre-assessment of related engineering projects,serve the goal of common prosperity in the era,and contribute to regional coordinated development.


  • LIU Ruixiang, JIANG Sijia, LI Jie
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 2(14): 134-158.
    Innovation is the wellspring of motivation for driving the sustainable development of the economy. Since the implementation of the reform and opening-up policy,our country has fully utilized the comparative advantage of relatively low labor costs,actively participated in international division of labor,and achieved remarkable development accomplishments that have drawn worldwide attention. However,as China enters a new stage of development,both its own endowment structure and the international environment it faces have undergone tremendous changes. Against the backdrop of an external environment fraught with uncertainties,giving full play to the advantages of China’s extremely large market size and the potential of domestic demand,and accelerating the establishment of a new development pattern featuring a domestic economic cycle as the mainstay and a mutually reinforcing relationship between domestic and international economic cycles has become an important measure for China’s high-quality development during the 14th Five-Year Plan period. The issue this article intends to focus on is whether the shift from an international economic cycle to an economic dual cycle with a domestic economic cycle as the mainstay will be conducive to the enhancement of China’s technological innovation capabilities.
    Under the domestic and international double cycle system,it has important theoretical significance and practical value to analyze the influence of participating in domestic and international division of labor on technological innovation. Based on the data of prefecturelevel cities in China from 2003 to 2019,this paper explores the impact of regional participation in international division of labor and domestic division of labor on technological innovation,and draws the following conclusions:First,the improvement of the level of international division of labor participation of various regions in our country has obviously hindered the technological innovation of the region. On the contrary,participation in the improvement of domestic analysis level has significantly improved the technological innovation capacity of the region;Secondly,the higher the labor productivity of a region,the more difficult it is to be locked in the low-end position of the global value chain division of labor,and the easier it is to climb to both ends of the “smile curve”. In addition,the promotion effect of participating in the domestic division of labor on the improvement of scientific and technological innovation ability is more obvious. Finally,participation in international division of labor and domestic division of labor has an impact on scientific and technological innovation ability mainly through two channels:human capital accumulation and scientific and technological activities. The conclusion of this paper provides the necessary policy basis and theoretical support for China’s implementation of innovation-driven development strategy under the background of international and domestic double cycles.


  • GONG Zhenlu LIU Siting
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 3(15): 121-151.
    Enhancing corporate investment efficiency constitutes a critical pillar for achieving high-quality macroeconomic development. The 2023 Central Economic Work Conference explicitly emphasized the necessity of expanding effective investments, and the “Decision of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on Further Comprehensively Deepening Reforms and Advancing Chinese Modernization” adopted at the Third Plenary Session of the 20th CPC Central Committee in July 2024 reiterated the strategic importance of capital market reforms. Nevertheless, despite continuous improvements in China’s legal system and business environment—core elements of formal institutions—inefficient corporate investments remain widespread, exerting adverse effects on corporate capital allocation, shareholder rights, and capital market stability. This highlights the limitations of relying exclusively on formal institutions “hard constraints” to address such inefficiencies. In recent years, scholars have paid more and more attention to the impact of culture as an important informal system on corporate behavior, such as exploring the interaction between Confucian culture, clan culture, etc. and corporate behavior. Corporate investment behavior decisions are inevitably affected by the cultural environment in which they are located, but the existing literature lacks systematic research on the relationship between merchant guild culture and corporate investment efficiency. Therefore, this study explores the role of informal institutions rooted in merchant guild culture in shaping corporate investment efficiency.
    This paper utilizes the data of A-share listed corporates from 2010 to 2020, and through constructing the proxy variables of merchant guild culture, it is the first time to empirically examine the relationship between merchant guild culture and enterprise investment efficiency based on the perspective of informal system. The study shows that merchant guild culture can effectively promote the enhancement of corporate investment efficiency, which is manifested in the reduction of corporate overinvestment and underinvestment behaviors. The mechanisms driving this effect primarily involve reductions in agency costs, enhancements in corporate reputation, and alleviations of financing constraints. Further analysis reveals that there is an implicit substitution relationship between merchant guild culture and formal institutions (market intermediary organizations and legal system), and other informal institutions (Confucianism, foreign modern culture) on corporate investment efficiency. The study also found that the enhancement of enterprise investment efficiency by merchant guild culture plays a more obvious role in enterprises with more decentralized equity and better revenue efficiency. In addition, based on the life cycle theory, the empirical results show that merchant guild culture is more effective in promoting the investment efficiency of growing enterprises compared with mature and declining enterprises. Finally, our results suggest that merchant guild culture reduces supplier/customer concentration without triggering “small-circle” exclusion effects. The research in this paper provides relevant informal institutional basis for the stable development of capital market and the construction of corporate governance system with Chinese characteristics.
    The contributions of this study are threefold. First, it pioneers an informal institutional perspective in the study of corporate investment efficiency. By empirically establishing the cultural determinants of investment efficiency and validating findings through rigorous robustness tests, this research enriches social identity theory through the lens of agency cost mechanisms. The exclusion of exclusivity effects advances micro-level analyses of merchant guild culture, while providing new empirical evidence for institutional economics and expanding the literature on the economic effects of merchant guild culture. This work also contributes to the broader discourse on the interplay between culture and economic behavior. Second, informal institutions, shaped through long-term historical evolution, exhibit relative stability and exert a persistent influence on corporate investment efficiency. However, as internal and external corporate environments evolve—particularly through the rise and decline of firms themselves—the impact of merchant guild culture manifests in stage-specific variations. By innovatively integrating lifecycle theory with institutional analysis, this study deepens the understanding of how informal institutional factors dynamically interact with corporate development trajectories. Third, on a practical level, the findings not only validate the contemporary relevance of traditional merchant guild culture in enhancing investment efficiency but also underscore its significance in fostering corporate cultural development. Importantly, the research elucidates the complementary governance roles of “soft constraints” (cultural norms) and “hard constraints” (formal institutions) within an evolving institutional landscape. This enriches the theoretical understanding of interactions between informal and formal institutions and provides empirical support for Acemoglu & Johnson’s (2005) hypothesis that informal institutions thrive in contexts where formal contractual frameworks are underdeveloped.
  • Journal of China Economics. 2025, 3(15): 88-120.
    In recent years, high-quality talent resources have also become a key element for various regions to promote economic and social development, develop new quality productive forces and transform the mode of economic growth. However, with the acceleration of aging and the disappearance of the demographic dividend in our country, the contradiction between the shortage of high-quality labor in various regions and the demand for high-quality economic development has become increasingly prominent. Against this backdrop, in order to attract high-quality talents to provide new impetus for regional economic development, local governments have gradually focused the core of competition among regions on high-quality talents and launched fierce talent competition. Investment is not only an important decision for the development of enterprises, but also a crucial foundation for promoting local economic growth and cultivating tax sources. Therefore, how to stimulate enterprise investment is an important issue currently faced by China’s economic development. Against this backdrop, it remains to be seen whether the introduction of talent introduction policies by cities to “recruit talents” for regional economic development will affect the development decisions of micro-enterprises. Based on the talent introduction policies at the city level in China, this paper uses data from listed companies to empirically examine how cities’ efforts to “recruit talents” to meet the demand for high-quality labor force in economic transformation and upgrading will affect enterprises’ investment decisions.
    This paper manually collects relevant documents on talent introduction policies issued by various prefecture-level cities, acquires the talent policy data at the municipal level from 2009 to 2020, and empirically examines the influence mechanism and specific path of a city’s “recruitment of talents” on the investment decisions of local enterprises by using the different-in-differences method. Research findings show that cities’ “recruitment of talents” can stimulate enterprises’ willingness to invest and boost the level of investment. Considering the possible endogeneity issue between talent introduction policies and enterprise investment expenditures, we further used the number of scholars in Ming and Qing Dynasties in each prefecture-level city as an instrumental variable for testing. The results showed that the above conclusion still existed. Mechanism tests show that cities’ “recruitment of talents” not only helps optimize the human capital structure of enterprises and promote enterprise investment; Moreover, the introduction of local talent policies can enhance enterprises’ ability to obtain market resources for commercial credit and bank credit, alleviate their financing constraints, and promote an increase in their investment expenditures. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that at the policy level, the higher the intensity of local talent policies, the more obvious this promoting effect will be. Moreover, the effect of development-oriented policies is the most obvious, followed by protection-oriented policies, and the effect of incentive-oriented policies is the weakest. The heterogeneity of enterprise and regional characteristics indicates that the policy stimulus effect is more significant for non-state-owned enterprises, high-tech enterprises, those with more abundant regional educational resources, and enterprises within non-first-tier city areas. Furthermore, the city’s “recruitment of talents” not only promotes enterprise investment but also enhances the labor productivity and total factor productivity of enterprises. In addition, the introduction of high-quality talents also helps promote the development of the real economy and curb enterprises’ tendency to “shift from the real economy to the virtual economy”. This also indicates that the role of talent policies in enhancing the development of enterprises is efficient.
    Based on the above analysis, the following policy suggestions are put forward. First of all, talent introduction policies can indeed have a significant positive impact on the investment of enterprises within the region. Local governments should make good use of talent policies as a policy tool and promote the local economic development level by enhancing the investment level of enterprises within the region. To achieve the goal of regional economic growth, local governments should place talent policies in an important position. Second, optimize the framework of the talent policy system and focus on deepening development-oriented talent policies. To avoid the singularity and fragmentation of policies, all regions should actively introduce a series of policy measures covering all aspects of talent introduction, cultivation, development and guarantee, and effectively ensure the effectiveness of talent policies. The government can focus on enriching and developing talent policies to attract talents willing to settle down locally to start businesses, inject cutting-edge technologies and innovative vitality into enterprises, and give rise to a large number of high value-added investment projects. At the same time, local governments should also continuously optimize policies for safeguarding talents such as housing and household registration, and constantly innovate policies for rewarding talents such as financial subsidies, to help enterprises attract and retain outstanding talents and promote the growth of enterprise investment. Thirdly, local governments should pay attention to the heterogeneous impacts of talent introduction policies on different enterprises. For non-state-owned enterprises within the region, the motivation to utilize talent policies to obtain external resources is stronger, and these resources are used for investment activities to promote the economic development of the enterprises. This research finding also indicates from the side the problem of the government’s inefficiency in resource allocation, which is also an issue that governments at all levels urgently need to consider when formulating policies. In addition, in terms of the applicable objects of enterprises, more attention should be paid to providing talent work support to enterprises in high-tech industries, and the intensity of policy support should be increased, so as to more effectively play the role of talent policies. Fourth, there is an imbalance in development among different regions in China, and regional differences are also factors that the government should take into account when implementing talent policies. Among them, educational resources are an important factor in determining whether high-quality talents will choose to enter. Regions with relatively rich educational resources are more likely to achieve the “attraction” and “retention” of talents, and the implementation of talent policies will also have a more obvious impact on the development of enterprises. Therefore, while implementing talent policies, local governments should also pay attention to the construction of related supporting facilities, such as increasing investment in education and improving the educational environment. Secondly, our research also found that compared with the first-tier cities that are inherently more attractive, the local talent introduction policies in non-first-tier cities are more effective. This is mainly due to the fact that non-first-tier cities, due to their relatively poor attractiveness, have led to a large number of high-quality labor forces leaving. In the current stage of advocating high-quality economic development, non-first-tier cities should pay more attention to the role of human capital in economic development. By introducing relevant policies to attract high-quality talents, a foundation for economic development can be provided, thereby maintaining competitiveness in regional competition.
  • LI Chao HE Wanling ZHAN Yong
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 3(15): 230-256.
    Technology finance, serving as a bridge linking technology and finance, holds significant importance in accelerating the transformation of scientific and technological achievements, cultivating the development of strategic emerging industries, and facilitating the integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation. The study takes the “Pilot Project of Promoting the Integration of Science and Technology with Finance” as a quasi-natural experiment, adopts the provincial panel data from 2007 to 2022, and based on the connotation of the integration of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation, constructs the indicator system of the integration of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation through the five secondary indexes of the level of development of technological turnover, cooperation between industry, academia, and research, the sales of new products, the added value of the high-tech industry, and the development of future industries. The index system of the integration of science and technology innovation and industrial innovation is constructed, and principal component analysis is used to measure the level of integration of science and technology innovation and industrial innovation in each province in the past years, and the multi-period double-difference model, propensity score matching method and double machine learning are further used to empirically analyze the effect and mechanism of the influence of science and technology finance on the integration of science and technology innovation and industrial innovation development. 
    The following conclusions are obtained: First, the policy of “Pilot Program for Promoting the Integration of Science and Technology and Finance” significantly promotes the integration of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation, and this conclusion is confirmed after replacing the explanatory variables, eliminating the special years, excluding the outliers, lagging the explanatory variables by one period, adopting the PSM-DID method, employing the dual machine learning method, placebo test, and other series of stability tests. method, placebo test and a series of robustness tests as well as instrumental variables estimation still hold. Second, S&T financial policy promotes the integration of S&T innovation and industrial innovation by cultivating S&T enterprises and enhancing the transformation rate of S&T achievements. Third, the impact of S&T financial policies on the integration of S&T innovation and industrial innovation is heterogeneous, with greater promotion effects on the integration of S&T innovation and industrial innovation in regions with higher levels of informatization, higher concentrations of scientific and technological talents, and lower intensity of financial regulation. At the same time, compared with the regions in the second pilot batch of S&T and financial integration policies, the S&T and financial policies in the first pilot batch of regions have a stronger role in promoting the integration of S&T innovation and industrial innovation. Fourth, further research shows that S&T financial policies not only have a direct impact on local S&T innovation and industrial innovation integration, but also have significant spatial spillover effects on neighboring provinces. 
    Based on the above findings, this study puts forward the following policy insights: first, increase the financial support for the integration of S&T innovation and industrial innovation, and shape a more synergistic, efficient and dynamic innovation ecosystem. The second is to emphasize the multi-dimensional ways of science and technology finance to empower the integration of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation, and to play a good and solid “combination punch” to promote the deep integration of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation. Thirdly, the dividends of science and technology financial policies should be fully released through localized and precise measures. The research conclusions offer policy inspirations for the government to formulate and optimize technology finance policies, guide more financial resources towards technological innovation, and promote the deep integration of technological innovation and industrial innovation.
  • YU Xulan FANG Ziyi ZHOU Ying
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 3(15): 52-87.
    As a responsible major power, China is dedicated to attaining the ambitious “30·60” vision and is actively promoting the comprehensive green transition of its economic and social development. Nevertheless, this process is not without hurdles and potential risks. A typical situation is that the green finance policies implemented by China to achieve its environmental objectives may, paradoxically, exacerbate risk aggregation, thereby influencing the transition process and even potentially resulting in its failure. In China’s industrial structure, traditional industries such as coal, steel, and chemical engineering still occupy a significant proportion. These industries often generate substantial pollution. The implementation of green finance policies is likely to impose a “penalty” effect on the financing of heavily polluting enterprises within traditional industries and an inhibitory effect on investment. This can lead to the distortion and mismatch of the investment-financing maturity structures of these enterprises. Once an enterprise’s capital chain breaks, various risks triggered by debt defaults and bankruptcy reorganizations will spread throughout the entire financial system, ultimately potentially giving rise to severe systemic financial risks. Therefore, the research questions of this study are as follows: Does China’s green finance policy exhibit a risk effect? How does this effect manifest? And how can it be addressed?
    To answer these questions, this study uses the implementation of the “Green Credit Guidelines” by the Chinese government in 2012 as a quasi-natural experiment. By capturing the asymmetric impacts of this policy on different enterprises before and after its implementation, a difference-in-differences (DID) model is constructed. Based on a sample of Shanghai and Shenzhen A-share listed companies from 2007 to 2023, this study conducts an in-depth analysis of the impact of the green credit policy (GCP) on the investment-financing maturity mismatch of heavily polluting enterprises. We find that after the implementation of the GCP, the problem of investment-financing maturity mismatch among heavily polluting enterprises has worsened. This phenomenon occurs mainly through two channels: on the supply side, after the implementation of the GCP, banks are less willing to provide credit to heavily polluting enterprises, reducing the availability of their long-term debt financing; on the demand side, after the policy’s implementation, enterprises actively increase environmental investments to meet more stringent environmental compliance requirements. This often necessitates longer-term financing support, thereby increasing the enterprises’ demand for long-term debt funds. The investment-financing maturity mismatch under policy constraints significantly elevates the debt default risk, operational risk, and bankruptcy risk of enterprises, posing severe challenges to their sustainable operation and long-term development. The study also reveals that a series of proactive measures, such as reducing information asymmetry among enterprises, enhancing the cash reserve levels and internal control quality of enterprises, can effectively mitigate the adverse effects of the GCP on the investment-financing maturity mismatch of heavily polluting enterprises. In summary, from the perspective of the investment-financing maturity mismatch of heavily polluting enterprises, this study identifies the unanticipated micro-risk effects of green finance and the mechanisms underlying risk formation. Additionally, it conducts a beneficial exploration of how to mitigate these risks.
    The contributions of this study are as follows: First, from the perspective of the investment-financing maturity mismatch of heavily polluting enterprises, this study conducts an in-depth examination of the micro-risk effects of green finance. Although existing research has made numerous valuable explorations in evaluating the policy effects of green finance, most of the literature has primarily focused on the emission reduction and economic effects of green finance, largely overlooking the distortion and mismatch of the investment-financing maturity structures of enterprises under the regulation of green finance policies (i.e., the “risk effect”). Moreover, there has been a scarcity of in-depth research on the debt risk transmission mechanisms and risk mitigation strategies of green finance. By leveraging the policy introduced by the Chinese government in 2012 to construct a quasi-natural experiment, this study examines the impact of the GCP on the investment-financing maturity mismatch of heavily polluting enterprises. The research findings will contribute to clarifying the unanticipated micro-risk impacts of the GCP and facilitating a rational understanding of the current institutional framework and actual effectiveness of China’s green finance. Second, from the perspective of the impact of green finance policies, this study offers a novel and viable explanation for the long-standing and prevalent phenomenon of the investment-financing maturity mismatch among Chinese enterprises. The issue of the investment-financing maturity mismatch has increasingly become the root cause of various systemic financial risks in China. Existing literature has predominantly analyzed the causes of this mismatch from the perspective of credit supply. This study emphasizes that green finance policies are a significant influencing factor and will lead to this problem through both the financing supply and demand channels. Therefore, the research findings of this study provide a valuable addition to this body of literature. Third, the research conclusions hold certain implications for the future revision and improvement of China’s green finance policies and for developing countries in formulating environmentally regulatory policies with economic inclusiveness. The current excessive “green” preference in China’s green finance policies may give rise to unanticipated risk impacts, yet existing literature has not given this sufficient attention, which is not conducive to the improvement and development of the green finance institutional framework. The conclusions of this study indicate that financial regulatory policies with distinct policy inclinations may lead to institutional frictions. These policies may exert substantial pressure on relevant restricted enterprises through supply and demand channels, thereby resulting in adverse consequences such as investment-financing maturity mismatch and risk accumulation. This serves as a reminder to global policy authorities, especially developing countries committed to environmental goals, that when formulating environmental regulatory policies, they should accurately anticipate the heterogeneous impacts of policies on different economic entities and prevent unanticipated resource allocation distortions and secondary risks arising from institutional frictions.
  • Feng Yao
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 3(15): 257-284.
    Regarding the research on the relationship between progressive delayed retirement policies and pension insurance, the focus is mostly on the impact of delayed retirement policies on the sustainability of pension insurance funds. In terms of gender based exploration, research is relatively scattered and usually limited to one aspect of delayed retirement or pension insurance. Although many scholars believe that the implementation of delayed retirement policies can help narrow the gender gap in pension benefits, the relevant discussions are still not in-depth enough, mostly mentioned in the conclusion section of the article, or only analyzed from the perspective of changes in the absolute value of pension benefits for male and female employees. Therefore, this article constructs an actuarial model that is in line with China’s institutional reality, selects two measurement indicators: monthly pension benefits and gender comparison coefficient of pension, and explores the gender inequality of pension insurance before and after the implementation of the progressive delayed retirement policy.
    At the same time, academic research on the relationship between progressive delayed retirement policies and pension insurance relies heavily on successful foreign experiences in constructing theoretical frameworks and designing retirement plans, with less consideration given to China’s local conditions and social needs. On September 13, 2024, China officially introduced the policy of delayed retirement and stipulated that it would be implemented from January 1, 2025. This article is based on the current framework of delayed retirement policies and the speed of delaying retirement age. Eight delayed retirement schemes are designed, and it is set that these schemes will be implemented after the full implementation of the current retirement policies. This to some extent ensures the applicability and feasibility of the scheme design in China, and provides important theoretical basis and empirical support for the optimization and improvement of relevant policies. In addition, studying the potential impact of progressive delayed retirement policies on the gender gap in pension insurance benefits can help the government predict and address potential social issues, thereby better promoting the gender equality agenda and ensuring the gender equality of the pension insurance system.
    This paper first describes the current situation and characteristics of China’s aging population. According to the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics, by the end of 2023, China’s population aged 65 and above will be 216.76 million, accounting for 15.4% of the national population. This is in line with the United Nations’ classification criteria for deep aging, indicating that China has entered a stage of deep aging development. At the same time, China’s aging population shows two significant characteristics. One is the aging population. The second is the feminization of the elderly population.
    With the increase in life expectancy and the decrease in the gender ratio of the population, the demand for economic support from the elderly and elderly women is gradually increasing. Due to their physiological conditions and social roles, women are in a relatively disadvantaged position in the labor market. Therefore, the pension insurance system based on income and working hours is inevitably disadvantageous to women. Faced with longer life expectancy and poorer pension benefits, elderly women are at a higher risk of poverty and are more likely to face retirement difficulties. Therefore, improving the welfare of women’s pension insurance is crucial and should attract widespread attention from the academic and policy communities.
    The policy of delaying retirement has been widely discussed by various sectors of society in recent years, and its implementation may have potential effects in alleviating the gender gap in pension income. According to the delayed retirement policy implemented from January 1, 2025, the retirement age for male, female cadres, and female workers in China will gradually be adjusted to 63, 58, and 55 years old. By comparison, as of 2022, the average statutory retirement age for males and females in OECD member countries is 64.4 years and 63.6 years, respectively. Therefore, compared with other major countries in the world, there is still room for China to further postpone the retirement age. In addition, in recent years, the government’s support for the pension insurance system has been continuously increasing, which also reflects the increasing financial pressure faced by the system. In order to ensure the long-term stable operation of the pension insurance system and effectively address the challenges brought by demographic changes, the retirement age should be further delayed.
    This article examines the impact of progressive delayed retirement on the gender gap in China’s pension insurance benefits through actuarial model construction and data simulation, and uses econometric regression analysis to assist in verification. The results indicate that spontaneous delayed retirement cannot help narrow the gender gap in China’s pension insurance benefits, and to narrow the gender gap in pension insurance benefits, human policy intervention is needed. The current gradual delayed retirement policy, while helping to gradually reduce the pension gap between male and female workers, has widened the gap between male and female cadres.
    Based on existing academic discussions and practical experience, this article designs eight progressive delayed retirement plans. It is recommended to gradually promote the new plan after the full implementation of the delayed retirement policy on January 1, 2025. Among them, the retirement age for women will be extended to 60 years old at a rate of 1 year every 4 years. The plan of delaying the retirement age for both men and women to 65 years old at a rate of 1 year every 6 years has a more significant effect on narrowing the gender gap. Further analysis reveals that the gender gap in China’s pension insurance benefits is also influenced by the income level and wage growth rate of employees. To narrow the gender gap in China’s pension insurance benefits, it is necessary to implement a delayed retirement plan that is not synchronized between men and women, delaying the retirement age for women first and then for men, and delaying the retirement age for both men and women to 65 years old. At the same time, it is also necessary to improve the unequal treatment of women in the labor market and create a fair employment environment for women.
  • CHEN Xuanjuan HU Tao YANG Gang DONG Ying
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 3(15): 179-203.
    Innovation is the important driving force for enterprise development and economic growth, and the protection of intellectual property rights is the protection of innovation. China’s intellectual property law and reform and opening up march side by side. From the 1980s to the early 1990s, the Trademark Law, Patent Law, Copyright Law, Anti-Unfair Competition Law and other laws and regulations have been promulgated, establishing the basic framework of intellectual property laws. After entering the 21st century, several rounds of revisions were made to the above laws, making it possible for China to complete the course of intellectual property law development in western countries over the past hundred years in only forty years, and the achievements in the construction of the rule of law have been remarkable.
    Although China has achieved remarkable results in IPR legislation, it still has a long way to go in IPR judicial protection. According to “The Status of Judicial Protection of Intellectual Property Rights in Chinese Courts”, there were over 540,000 new intellectual property cases in the year 2023, while during the same period, according to the U.S. Patent and Goodwill Office, the number of new intellectual property cases in the U.S. was just over 3,000 cases nationwide. In practice, the United States and other developed countries from the 1980s, the requirements of a certain size of enterprises must be established above the Chief Legal Officer (CLO) position, as the company’s executives and members of the board of directors is a core member of corporate governance. The CLO is the best strategic partner of the CEO and CFO, and the three are jointly involved in the planning and decision-making of the company’s strategy. Chinese companies are lagging behind in their efforts to “govern by law”. It was not until October 2022 that the Measures for Compliance Management of Centralized Enterprises came into force, requiring that centralized enterprises should, in light of the actual situation, set up a chief compliance officer, who is concurrently appointed by the general counsel and is accountable to the main person in charge of the enterprise. Another typical fact is that, according to the statistics of China’s Ministry of Justice, as of the end of 2022, there were more than 651,600 practicing lawyers nationwide, of which more than 504,700, or 77.46%, were full-time lawyers, while more than 29,900, or 4.6%, were corporate lawyers, and the percentage of corporate lawyers was much lower than that of full-time lawyers. This shows that in the internal governance of Chinese enterprises, the construction of the legal system is at a low level.
    The paper attempts to analyze, from a micro perspective, the impact of external lawyers’ services on firms’ innovation and its mechanism of action in the context of Chinese firms’ low level of in-house legal construction. Specifically, we will answer three research questions. First, do lawyer services have an impact on corporate innovation? We use the number of law firms within a certain range around listed companies to measure the level of lawyer service supply in the region based on the data on the geographic location of listed companies’ headquarters and law firms, and use the number of corporate patent applications as an indicator of innovation output to analyze the impact of lawyer service supply on corporate innovation. The results show that the higher the level of lawyer service supply, the higher the level of innovation output of enterprises; the impact of lawyer service supply on enterprise innovation not only stays at the level of quantity, but also has a significant enhancement effect on high-quality invention patents, and this effect is stronger in the enterprises whose CEOs have the background of production and research and development, the enterprises of hi-tech industry, and the enterprises which are supported by the industrial policy. Secondly, how do attorney services affect enterprise innovation? On the one hand, lawyers’ services can help enterprises to protect their own interests by applying for patents, and on the other hand, they can help enterprises to minimize their losses when they face lawsuits. This allows the economic benefits of innovation to be preserved, which in turn promotes innovation output. We introduce two variables of infringement risk and judicial protection intensity to test these two influence mechanisms, and the results show that both influence mechanisms exist. Finally, do lawyers’ services have an impact on firm value while promoting firm innovation? We find that the market valuation of firms is higher under the joint effect of lawyer services and firm innovation.
    Relative to the existing literature, the possible innovations and marginal contributions of the paper are mainly in the following three aspects: first, the paper expands the research perspective of law and firm innovation. Most of the existing literature analyzes the impact of intellectual property protection on corporate innovation based on the perspective of the firm’s external judicial system. Different from that, based on the basic fact that lawyers’ legal services are embedded in the enterprise legal system, the paper examines the effect and mechanism of the influence of the internal legal force on the enterprise’s innovative behavior through the construction of a theoretical framework and a systematic empirical study, which enriches the existing literature. Secondly, the paper deepens the theoretical knowledge of lawyers’ service to the real economy. Most of the related literature in the legal field on lawyers’ influence on economic development adopts the normative analysis paradigm, lacking systematic and complete empirical evidence. The paper, however, is based on the geographical distribution of law firms as a way to analyze the impact of lawyers’ legal service supply on corporate innovation, which can provide empirical evidence for related studies in the legal field and deepen the theoretical knowledge of lawyers’ service to the real economy. Thirdly, the paper has inspirational significance for enterprises to promote the rule of law and improve the construction of legal system. Given that the development of enterprise legal affairs in China stays in the primary stage, characterized by uneven development and insufficient cognition. The empirical analysis of the paper reveals the importance and value of enterprise legal work, and provides a policy basis for enterprises to promote the rule of law and improve the construction of legal system.
  • SHAN Depeng YAO Zhuang
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 3(15): 152-178.
    China’s pursuit of integrated urban-rural development necessitates efficient grassroots governance reforms. Township mergers, aimed at streamlining administration and optimizing resource allocation, represent a significant policy instrument in this endeavor. However, their impact on agricultural development—a cornerstone of rural revitalization—remains empirically ambiguous and theoretically contested. Utilizing the large-scale “Two Reforms” implemented in Sichuan Province a quasi-natural experiment, this study employs a multi-period Difference-in-Differences (DID) model on panel data from 184 counties to rigorously evaluate the causal effects of township mergers on county-level agricultural outcomes. Our analysis reveals critical nuances often overlooked in the literature, particularly the pivotal role of policy implementation fidelity and local contextual factors.
    The core findings demonstrate a complex and heterogeneous impact. While township mergers significantly stimulated short-term industrialization—evidenced by increased real estate investment, growth in the number of scale-above enterprises, and rising industrial value-added—they failed, on average, to enhance agricultural output. This aggregate null effect masks substantial underlying variation. Mechanism analysis identifies fiscal decentralization as a key driver of local government behavior, fostering a pronounced “prioritizing industry over agriculture” tendency. This manifested in resource misallocation: industrialization failed to effectively drive agricultural labor transfer, land scale operation, or technological adoption. Instead, distorted factor allocation suppressed agricultural labor productivity. Heterogeneity analysis further reveals significant geographical variation: the negative effect on agriculture was most pronounced in plains and hilly regions, while statistically insignificant in mountainous and plateau areas.
    Crucially, the study dissects policy failure by distinguishing design intent from implementation reality. The theoretical design of township mergers—leveraging industrialization and urbanization to foster agricultural modernization—is sound. However, the empirical evidence points to implementation deviation, not design flaw, as the primary cause of adverse outcomes. This deviation is captured by the novel concept of “compliance counties” versus “non-compliance counties”. Compliance counties strictly met the merger criteria defined by Sichuan Province. In stark contrast, non-compliance counties implemented the policy without meeting these foundational requirements.
    Results show a dramatic divergence in outcomes based on compliance status. Compliance counties successfully harnessed the merger to achieve significant growth in agricultural value-added, alongside increases in agricultural labor input, labor efficiency, and forestry, animal husbandry, sideline, and fishery output. This success stemmed from their established industrial and urban foundations, enabling them to balance non-agricultural development with agricultural reinvestment, thus activating the hypothesized “industry nurturing agriculture” pathway. Conversely, non-compliance counties experienced a substantial decline in agricultural value-added. Trapped by weak industrial bases and single economic structures, they intensified their “de-agrarianization tendency”, sacrificing agricultural resources to chase non-agricultural growth, particularly in real estate and fixed asset investment. This strategy led to “industrial hollowing-out”, failed labor absorption, reduced agricultural inputs, and ultimately, suppressed agricultural productivity without achieving industrial upgrading. Consequently, these counties exacerbated the very problems the policy aimed to solve.
    This research makes significant contributions. First, it shifts the policy failure discourse from design critique to implementation analysis, empirically demonstrating that deviation from scientifically set standards is a critical failure mechanism. Second, it enriches grassroots governance literature by focusing on the understudied township level and introducing/validating “compliance status” as a key moderator. Third, it deepens the understanding of the “industry-agriculture” linkage within the township merger context, revealing why the intended spillover often fails and how local conditions and government behavior under fiscal decentralization shape outcomes. Fourth, it provides robust empirical evidence using rigorous econometric methods, including extensive robustness checks and mechanism tests.
    This study underscores that the success of township mergers hinges not merely on the policy design but critically on faithful implementation tailored to local economic and industrial foundations. Mandating mergers in unprepared contexts risks harming agriculture through resource diversion and distorted incentives. Future reforms must prioritize strict adherence to suitability criteria and implement robust monitoring and incentive realignment mechanisms.
  • LI Yan
    Journal of China Economics. 2025, 3(15): 204-229.
    Exploring the impact of intellectual property right protection on labor price distortion expands the research on the factors affecting labor price distortion and helps to think about the reform of labor market allocation from the perspective of the business environment, providing ideas for reducing labor price distortion and releasing the vitality of the labor market. This paper constructs the mechanism by which intellectual property right protection affects labor price distortion through channels of human capital accumulation and innovation activities. Based on Chinese city-level data, the production function method is used to measure labor price distortion. Combined with the two-way fixed effects model, empirically analyzing the impact of intellectual property right protection on labor price distortions and its heterogeneity, and test the mechanism effect of human capital accumulation and innovation activities. In order to test the generalizability of the conclusions obtained, this paper further complements the empirical analysis at the micro level of enterprises, taking into account both macro and micro levels of analysis.
    The findings reveal that an increase in intellectual property right protection intensity significantly reduces labor price distortion, and the inhibitory effect passes robustness tests in several ways. The results of the mechanistic analysis show that the above inhibitory effect is mainly realized through the channels of accelerating human capital accumulation and stimulating innovative activities. The results of the heterogeneity analysis show that there is heterogeneity in the impact of increased intensity of intellectual property right protection on labor price distortion, i.e., it has a greater inhibitory effect on labor price distortion in cities in the southern region, in cities of lower administrative rank and in cities with higher labor price distortion. Further analysis reveals that an increase intensity of intellectual property right protection reduces corporate labor price distortions, and that the above disincentives are also realized through the channels of accelerating corporate human capital accumulation and stimulating corporate innovative activities. Based on the conclusions of the above empirical analysis, this paper puts forward the following three suggestions: first, paying attention to the impact of intellectual property right protection on the labor market. Second, formulate differentiated intellectual property right protection policies according to the actual local development. Third, take into account the policies related to the introduction of talents and the stimulation of innovative activities.
    Compared with existing studies, the marginal contributions of this paper are: Firstly, examining the problem of labor price distortion from the perspective of intellectual property right protection. With the advancement of factor market allocation reform, reducing labor price distortion has become one of the key issues of reform. Current research focuses on its economic effects and less on the influencing factors, while this paper discusses labor price distortion from the perspective of intellectual property right protection, expanding the research perspective of influencing factors. Secondly, the mechanism of intellectual property right protection on labor price distortion is constructed from the perspective of human capital accumulation and innovation activities. The protection of intellectual property rights can incentivize the R&D activities of enterprises, which in turn affects the human capital accumulation and innovation activities in the region. High-skilled labor has a stronger bargaining power in negotiations with enterprises, and the imbalance of bargaining power is one of the causes of labor price distortion. Thus, intellectual property right protection affects labor price distortions by promoting human capital accumulation. Innovation activities provide more matching opportunities for labor and help optimize matching in the labor market, so intellectual property right protection also affects labor price distortion through innovation activities. This paper analyzes the mechanism of intellectual property right protection on labor price distortion through the above two channels, and provides reference for future research.